{"id":1397,"date":"2016-03-31T13:36:15","date_gmt":"2016-03-31T13:36:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.griffithasiainsights.com.au\/?p=1397"},"modified":"2023-08-08T07:45:06","modified_gmt":"2023-08-07T21:45:06","slug":"japanese-subs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/japanese-subs\/","title":{"rendered":"Japanese subs: A once-in-a-generation opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/michael-heazle\/\">MICHAEL HEAZLE<\/a> |<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/comment\/if-we-strike-a-deal-with-japan-were-buying-more-than-submarines-20160313-gni3hl.html#ixzz43E1Rc1le\">Hugh White&#8217;s piece in the Fairfax media<\/a> last week on the strategic perils of Australia buying Japanese submarines is long on speculation and short on substance.<\/p>\n<p>Professor White takes a more measured position in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lowyinterpreter.org\/post\/2016\/03\/22\/Does-Japan-expect-an-alliance-with-Australia-as-part-of-a-submarine-deal.aspx\">his later Interpreter post<\/a> advising against &#8216;Option J&#8217;, but this reply focuses on the Fairfax piece because it is here that White most clearly (and selectively) lays out the &#8216;big risks&#8217;. But he fails to acknowledge both the significant opportunity costs of rejecting the Japanese bid and the bigger risks to Australian interests this poses. Equally worrying is White&#8217;s failure to frame the deal in terms of the major selection criterion for any Australian sub deal: which subs have the capacity to best serve Australia&#8217;s defence needs?<\/p>\n<p>Professor White claims that a sub deal with Japan automatically ties us into an alliance with Tokyo. I have not seen the contract the deal would be based on, but am pretty sure it does not include an alliance clause. Contractual obligations aside, I am yet to hear of any Japanese statements remotely suggesting this. The Abe Government clearly is keen to develop a closer security relationship with Australia, and the US is keen to see this happen as a way of &#8216;cross-bracing&#8217; the alliances it maintains with both countries.<\/p>\n<p>But to claim that Japan sees the sub deal guaranteeing a fully-fledged alliance commitment from Canberra is pure speculation. What Japanese policy makers do see in the sub deal, however, is an opportunity to further strengthen the existing bilateral strategic partnership, which is still a long way short of committing to militarily support Japan in a conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Please click here to read the full &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.lowyinterpreter.org\/post\/2016\/03\/30\/Japanese-subs-A-once-in-a-generation-opportunity.aspx\">Japanese subs: A once-in-a-generation opportunity<\/a>&#8221; article in The Lowy Interpreter by Griffith Asia Institute Associate Professor Michael Heazle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MICHAEL HEAZLE | Hugh White&#8217;s piece in the Fairfax media last week on the strategic perils of Australia buying Japanese submarines is long on speculation and short on substance. Professor White takes a more measured position in his later Interpreter post advising against &#8216;Option J&#8217;, but this reply focuses on the Fairfax piece because it [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":1639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[245],"tags":[353,1652],"class_list":["post-1397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-china-and-north-east-asia","tag-japan","tag-michael-heazle"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Christine Kowalski","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the 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Strategic inertia and new opportunities in the Australia-Philippines relationship","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"31 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"In science it is noted that terrestrial planets are situated in the \u2018Goldilocks zone\u2019, that is the habitable or life zone in space where a planet is just the \u2018right distance from a home star so that\u2019s its surface is neither too hot nor too cold.\u2019 The Goldilocks zone in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commentary&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/08\/AU-PH-goldilocks-zone.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/08\/AU-PH-goldilocks-zone.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/08\/AU-PH-goldilocks-zone.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/08\/AU-PH-goldilocks-zone.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5292,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/australia-should-brace-for-a-volatile-year-in-foreign-policy-in-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":1397,"position":1},"title":"Australia should brace for a volatile year in foreign policy in 2019","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"4 January 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SUSAN HARRIS RIMMER | By the end of 2019 we should be able to assess how Australia is travelling with the grand plan laid out in the\u00a02017 Foreign Policy White Paper. In this, an election year, I examine the status of our most important international relationships. My verdict: decidedly shaky.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Feature series&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Feature series","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/feature-series\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/01\/foreign-policy-volatility-900x500.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/01\/foreign-policy-volatility-900x500.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/01\/foreign-policy-volatility-900x500.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/01\/foreign-policy-volatility-900x500.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9918,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/strategic-denial-and-australias-pacific-mindset\/","url_meta":{"origin":1397,"position":2},"title":"Strategic denial and Australia\u2019s Pacific mindset","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"21 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"This is the first in a three-part series in which GAI Industry fellow Ian Kemish AM explores the history of Australia\u2019s public mindset towards the Pacific.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Pillar 3: Geopolitics and diplomacy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Pillar 3: Geopolitics and diplomacy","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/feature-series\/pacific-outlook-feature-series\/geopolitics-diplomacy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australia's Pacific mindset - map of Oceania overlayed with people silhouette.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9950,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/australias-pacific-mindset-from-federation-to-today\/","url_meta":{"origin":1397,"position":3},"title":"Australia\u2019s Pacific mindset: From Federation to today","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"4 September 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"IAN KEMISH AM | In the final instalment of this three-part series, Ian Kemish outlines how a concern to manage international security threats was firmly embedded in Australian national thinking in the early post-federation years, how events since then have served to entrench this view, and why it is important\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Pillar 3: Geopolitics and diplomacy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Pillar 3: Geopolitics and diplomacy","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/feature-series\/pacific-outlook-feature-series\/geopolitics-diplomacy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australia's Pacific mindset - map of Oceania overlayed with people silhouette.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-3.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-3.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-3.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-3.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6158,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/philippine-australian-relations-connecting-the-spokes\/","url_meta":{"origin":1397,"position":4},"title":"Philippine-Australian Relations: Connecting the Spokes","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"29 July 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"CAITLIN BYRNE\u00a0 |\u00a0 The Philippine-Australian relationship has a long history of bilateral cooperation. Since diplomatic relations were established in 1946 the two countries have had strong people-to-people links, sustained development cooperation, deep economic ties and robust security cooperation. The Griffith Asia Institute and its partner Asia Pacific Pathways to Progress\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Photo Gallery&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Photo Gallery","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/events\/photo-gallery\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/07\/PH-Aus5.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/07\/PH-Aus5.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/07\/PH-Aus5.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/07\/PH-Aus5.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/07\/PH-Aus5.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10314,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/post-referendum-charting-bougainvilles-independence-vote\/","url_meta":{"origin":1397,"position":5},"title":"Post-referendum: Charting Bougainville&#8217;s independence vote","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"21 November 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"IAN KEMISH AM\u00a0 |\u00a0 In the aftermath of the 2019 referendum, where Bougainvilleans strongly favoured independence, Papua New Guinea's parliament is poised to vote on Bougainville's independence, which is expected to be rejected. A negative vote without a constructive plan could lead to Bougainville declaring independence unilaterally, posing challenges for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commentary&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"2018 Cultural performance at the Reeds Festival in Bougainville, Papua New Guinea","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Bougainville.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Bougainville.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Bougainville.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Bougainville.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"featured_image_thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2016\/04\/japanese-sub-article-feature-banner.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1397","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1397"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1397\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1397"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1397"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1397"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}