{"id":3958,"date":"2018-01-18T13:50:45","date_gmt":"2018-01-18T03:50:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=3958"},"modified":"2023-08-06T15:36:23","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T05:36:23","slug":"why-australia-should-consider-sharing-nuclear-weapons","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/why-australia-should-consider-sharing-nuclear-weapons\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Australia should consider sharing nuclear weapons"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/peter-layton\/\">PETER LAYTON<\/a>&nbsp;|<\/p>\n<p>The future looks ominous. There are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.org.au\/australias-deteriorating-strategic-outlook\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">grim warnings<\/a>&nbsp;that Australia&#8217;s strategic situation has worsened dramatically, with major power conflict increasingly likely.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/opinion\/an-american-pivot-out-of-asia-would-force-us-to-play-historys-hand\/news-story\/c6aec7cc646fcbb78a5ca7a4e548618c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Some commentators fret<\/a>&nbsp;over US withdrawal from the region, which would leave us disturbingly exposed.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/opinion\/a-stronger-australia-can-be-a-more-useful-us-ally\/news-story\/528e9c0b97276cf78e694ddded8a99fe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Others worry<\/a>&nbsp;that the U.S. is now too weak anyway.<\/p>\n<p>In the long term, China causes the most worry, given its South China Sea island-building and interference in Australia&#8217;s domestic affairs. Over time, with the world&#8217;s largest economy, China could field military forces comparable to the US \u2013 perhaps better. There is little Australia&#8217;s current or planned military forces could do if a China war broke out. And China holds the trump card: nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n<p>In the short term, however, North Korea is more frightening. Over several decades the country has been consistently aggressive, frequently brutal and overtly militaristic. Its current dynastic leader appears erratic, ruthless, and capricious, and its nuclear capabilities have&nbsp;reportedly expanded rapidly&nbsp;to include&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-01-09\/north-south-korea-nuclear-war-talks-weve-been-here-before\/9314612\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">some 60 nuclear<\/a>&nbsp;weapons, including, it seems, hydrogen bombs. Now the country seems to have almost finished developing a viable intercontinental ballistic missile delivery system. All Australian cities could be at risk.<\/p>\n<p>We rely completely on the US to deter nuclear threats. But Donald Trump&#8217;s administration may have ushered in an era where &#8216;America First&#8217; rules, alliances are marginalised, and decision-making is disruptive. Relying on burden-shifting our nuclear deterrence indefinitely, into an uncertain future, may be unwise. The US does not need us for its defence. Its interest in our region may wane. In the long term, a different approach might be prudent.<\/p>\n<p>Please click here to read the full&nbsp;\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lowyinstitute.org\/the-interpreter\/why-australia-should-consider-sharing-nuclear-weapons\">Why Australia should consider sharing nuclear weapons<\/a>\u201d&nbsp;article published in the Lowy Interpreter,&nbsp;written by Griffith Asia Institute Visiting Fellow, Dr Peter Layton.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PETER LAYTON&nbsp;| The future looks ominous. There are&nbsp;grim warnings&nbsp;that Australia&#8217;s strategic situation has worsened dramatically, with major power conflict increasingly likely.&nbsp;Some commentators fret&nbsp;over US withdrawal from the region, which would leave us disturbingly exposed.&nbsp;Others worry&nbsp;that the U.S. is now too weak anyway. In the long term, China causes the most worry, given its South China [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":3959,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[233,245],"tags":[599,567,1082],"class_list":["post-3958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-series","category-china-and-north-east-asia","tag-australian-defence-strategy","tag-nuclear-weapons","tag-peter-layton"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Australia should consider sharing nuclear weapons | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"PETER LAYTON&nbsp;| The future looks ominous. 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In general,\u00a0grey-zone activities\u00a0involve purposefully pursuing political objectives through carefully designed operations; moving cautiously\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commentary&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/China-grey-zone2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/China-grey-zone2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/China-grey-zone2.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/10\/China-grey-zone2.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5681,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/mobilising-defence-in-the-fourth-industrial-revolution\/","url_meta":{"origin":3958,"position":1},"title":"Mobilising Defence in the \u201cfourth industrial revolution\u201d","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"19 April 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"PETER LAYTON\u00a0| Australia\u2019s future wars may not run to our timetable. Our recent wars of choice have allowed participation as and when we wished. 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These complicated systems represent unique target sets best attacked through using system of system thinking and emerging ideas of cognitive warfare. Particularly given China\u2019s \u201csystems confrontation\u201d focus, attacking battle networks is an\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Region | China and Northeast Asia&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Region | China and Northeast Asia","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/china-and-north-east-asia\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dark red technological map of the world with luminous dots, global information network on a digital screen","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/Defence-technology-network.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/Defence-technology-network.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/Defence-technology-network.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/Defence-technology-network.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10376,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/perspectivesasia-australias-pivot-to-india\/","url_meta":{"origin":3958,"position":3},"title":"Perspectives:Asia | Australia\u2019s pivot to India","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"9 November 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"PERSPECTIVES:ASIA\u00a0|\u00a0ANDREW CHARLTON \u00a0| https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=wyZ57trQKAc India is on the rise to become the next global superpower, with a population expected to be larger than the United States and China combined by 2050. 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The US withdrawal from the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia delivered a big blow to international non-nuclear proliferation efforts. President Donald Trump accuses Russia of violating the terms of the agreement which has been an\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Feature series&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Feature series","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/feature-series\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Griffith Asia Institute - Regional Wrap 54","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10010,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/myanmar-military-nuclear-ambitions-fact-or-fiction\/","url_meta":{"origin":3958,"position":5},"title":"Myanmar military nuclear ambitions: Fact or fiction?","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"28 September 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"ANDREW SELTH\u00a0 |\u00a0 \u00a0 A front page\u00a0story\u00a0in the Sydney Morning Herald in 2009 confidently predicted that within five years Myanmar would have its own nuclear weapon and be capable of producing one atom bomb every year thereafter, if all went according to plan. The story, by two respected Myanmar watchers,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commentary&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Myanmar pagodas","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/myanmar.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/myanmar.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/myanmar.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/myanmar.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"featured_image_thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/01\/australia-military-900x500.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3958","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3958"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3958\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3959"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3958"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3958"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3958"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}