{"id":4318,"date":"2018-05-17T11:00:42","date_gmt":"2018-05-17T01:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=4318"},"modified":"2018-05-17T10:45:45","modified_gmt":"2018-05-17T00:45:45","slug":"regional-wrap-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-7\/","title":{"rendered":"Regional wrap"},"content":{"rendered":"

US President Donald Trump\u2019s decision to withdraw<\/a> from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreement with Iran dominated global headlines this fortnight. This move, seen as a blow<\/a> to the nuclear non-proliferation regime, could have major ramifications for the Indo-Pacific region as well, especially in the context of Trump\u2019s upcoming meeting<\/a> with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Singapore on 12th<\/sup> June to discuss denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula.<\/p>\n

Following his much-publicised bonhomie with South Korean President Moon Jae-in at the Panmunjom summit last month, Kim Jong-un made a surprise visit<\/a> to China and met President Xi Jinping, his second such visit in two months. During the meeting, Kim expressed his hope for the denuclearisation process to be carried out in a \u2018phased\u2019 and \u2018synchronised\u2019 manner<\/a>. For its part, China has huge stakes in the proceedings to follow: it is keen to be seen as a powerbroker while at the same time ensuring that it is not left isolated in the event of a potential rapprochement between the US and North Korea. Significantly, Xi and Trump discussed the upcoming negotiations over a phone call<\/a> where the former stressed the importance of the US maintaining its sanctions until Pyongyang completely dismantled its nuclear programs permanently. US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited Pyongyang<\/a> and called on Kim to take matters further and even secured the release of three American citizens held hostage by the DPRK for a year. North Korea has already begun<\/a> dismantling its nuclear test site at Punggye-ri, signalling momentum.<\/p>\n

In the latest salvo<\/a>, however, the North Korean First Vice Foreign Minister has issued a statement threatening to withdraw<\/a> from the negotiation process if Pyongyang was forced to give up its nuclear program in a \u2018one-sided\u2019 and \u2018unilateral\u2019 affair. North Korea has voiced protest against US National Security Advisor John Bolton\u2019s remarks mentioning US demands for a \u2018Libyan model\u2019 of nuclear disarmament for the Hermit Kingdom.<\/p>\n

Former Australian ambassador to China, Geoff Raby has stirred a controversy after he called for Foreign Minister Julie Bishop\u2019s resignation<\/a> over the deterioration of relations between Australia and China in an opinion piece<\/a> published in the Australian Financial Review<\/em>. Raby placed the blame of the downward trend in bilateral relations on the policy of \u2018strategic mistrust\u2019 adopted by the LNP government. Raby points out<\/a> that Bishop has not visited China in the last two years and has made several public comments which have offended Beijing and placed relations \u2018in the freezer\u2019. The Turnbull government has renounced Raby\u2019s criticism and \u2018profoundly misinformed commentary\u2019<\/a>. This comes days after Bishop sounded a warning<\/a> to Beijing to refrain from applying pressure on Qantas to adopt its guidelines to refer to Taiwan as a part of China and not as a separate country. She made these comments in response to China\u2019s admonition to several international airlines including Qantas, which the Trump administration has famously called \u2018Orwellian nonsense\u2019<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Australia unveiled its new budget in which its foreign aid funding freeze has been extended<\/a> for another year to save $141million, even as concerns of China\u2019s growing influence in the South Pacific continue to deepen, to Canberra\u2019s peril. Plans to open new consulates<\/a> in Kolkata, India and Funafuti, Tuvalu indicate the Coalition government\u2019s strategic emphasis on the Indo-Pacific region.<\/p>\n

China has been discovered<\/a> to have set up sophisticated anti-ship cruise missiles and surface-to-air missile systems on three of its outposts in the hotly contested Spratly Islands in the South China Sea. This follows China\u2019s recent South China Sea installation of military jamming equipment<\/a> meant to render communications and radar systems ineffective, which\u00a0 significantly amplifies Beijing\u2019s hard power projection capabilities in the region. The latest discovery comes on the heels of US claims<\/a> of China targeting its planes at Djibouti with laser beams, which the latter denies<\/a>, marking an increase in friction between the two superpowers in another theatre of the Indo-Pacific.<\/p>\n

In what may aptly be described as a tumultuous and unexpected outcome<\/a> to the Malaysian general elections, veteran politician and former prime minister Mahathir Mohammed won the people\u2019s mandate and ousted the famously corrupt Najib Razak\u2019s government from power. This is the first change of government in Malaysia since its independence in 1957. Significantly, the 92 year-old leader\u2019s election is being seen as a blow<\/a> to China\u2019s Belt and Road projects in Malaysia as he may renegotiate<\/a> some deals with Beijing.<\/p>\n

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Nepal with an aim to rebuild trust<\/a> with Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli\u2019s new government, after relations between the two countries had soured over the last few years. India\u2019s neighbourhood policy has come under considerable strain in recent months in the light of China\u2019s growing influence in the subcontinent and the Indian Ocean Region, through its investments and infrastructure projects.<\/p>\n

India has planned<\/a> to station fighter jets and other combat platforms permanently at the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, for the first time since the Second World War, \u2018to create a model for integration of three defence services.\u2019 This move is going to strengthen<\/a> India\u2019s reach over the Malacca, Sunda and Lombok straits and further into the Eastern Indian Ocean, crucial for Indo-Pacific security.<\/p>\n

Significance for Australia<\/h3>\n

Trump\u2019s unilateral withdrawal from the JCPOA is an unwelcome and profoundly unsettling development for Australia and the region. Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Foreign Minister Julie Bishop joined several world leaders<\/a> in expressing their disappointment and \u2018regret\u2019 over Trump\u2019s decision. Turnbull urged all the parties to maintain \u2018restraint\u2019 and to continue with the deal. The bigger implication of this fallout is in the example that is being set for other nations, particularly North Korea, as it shows that the US cannot be trusted even in the event of an agreement being finalised. An even more dangerous dilemma that faces the world and Australia is the erosion of trust and reliability in the US to lead the rules-based order; the long-term reputational costs may prove very expensive to Washington.<\/p>\n

Australia would be watching the developments around the US-North Korean summit very closely as things could go either way. Given Trump and Kim\u2019s mercurial personalities and the stakes involved, not to mention the oscillations already underway, it is fair to say that Canberra would be on its guard.<\/p>\n

On another front, Australia\u2019s inability to halt its freeze on its foreign aid may disappoint many nations, most particularly in the South Pacific. More importantly, analysts point out<\/a> that this paves the way for further Chinese encroachment in Australia\u2019s backyard and gives Beijing tremendous strategic leverage, likely to cost Canberra dearly in the long term.<\/p>\n

Following the recent revelations of China\u2019s militarisation of the Spratly Islands, Julie Bishop issued a warning<\/a> to Beijing and remarked that this goes against China\u2019s promises and stated aspirations in the region. This development comes weeks after Australian warships were confronted<\/a> by the People\u2019s Liberation Army (Navy) in the South China Sea and adds to Australia\u2019s already considerable worries about Chinese intentions in the Indo-Pacific.<\/p>\n

Finally, Malaysia\u2019s successful elections and subsequent developments offer hope that the country has finally turned to a \u2018vibrant democracy\u2019<\/a> ending years of authoritarian rule. Goes without saying, Canberra views this as a most favourable outcome and Mahathir\u2019s election is already said to be on its course \u2018to chart new way out of ashes of old relations with Australia.\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n

AUTHOR<\/div>\n
Aakriti Bachhawat<\/strong>\u00a0is a Research Assistant at the Griffith Asia Institute and the Book Review Editor of the Australian Journal of International Affairs.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US President Donald Trump\u2019s decision to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreement with Iran dominated global headlines this fortnight. This move, seen as a blow to the nuclear non-proliferation regime, could have major ramifications for the Indo-Pacific region as well, especially in the context of Trump\u2019s upcoming meeting with North Korean […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":4032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[233,245,246,247],"tags":[716,577,767,474,706,421],"class_list":["post-4318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-series","category-china-and-north-east-asia","category-india-and-south-asia","category-indonesia-and-southeast-asia","tag-aakriti-bachhawat","tag-kim-jong-un","tag-malaysian-election","tag-north-korea","tag-president-donald-trump","tag-south-china-sea"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill 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Since then, his decision to continue the onslaught has revealed the ongoing practical costs to the Russian military. Now, Moscow\u2019s attempt to meet those\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commentary"","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin and the Chairman of the State Council of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea Kim Jong-un, 25 April 2019.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":7799,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-56\/","url_meta":{"origin":4318,"position":1},"title":"Regional wrap | 56","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"13 August 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Griffith Asia Institute, fortnightly Regional wrap with Aakriti Bachhawat. One of the most important, and yet subtle developments this fortnight was a shift in Australia\u2019s position on the ongoing border tensions between India and China.","rel":"","context":"In "Commentary"","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Griffith Asia Institute - Regional Wrap 54","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5292,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/australia-should-brace-for-a-volatile-year-in-foreign-policy-in-2019\/","url_meta":{"origin":4318,"position":2},"title":"Australia should brace for a volatile year in foreign policy in 2019","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"4 January 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"SUSAN HARRIS RIMMER | By the end of 2019 we should be able to assess how Australia is travelling with the grand plan laid out in the\u00a02017 Foreign Policy White Paper. In this, an election year, I examine the status of our most important international relationships. 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So,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commentary"","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/09\/QUAD21.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/09\/QUAD21.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/09\/QUAD21.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/09\/QUAD21.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6892,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/jokowis-visit-shows-the-australia-indonesia-relationship-is-strong-but-faultlines-remain\/","url_meta":{"origin":4318,"position":5},"title":"Jokowi\u2019s visit shows the Australia-Indonesia relationship is strong, but faultlines remain","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"11 February 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Indonesian President Joko Widodo - Jokowi \u2013 has shown himself to be generally less interested in international affairs than his predecessor, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY). He has also been less committed to the Indonesia-Australia relationship. Nonetheless, Australia\u2019s invitation to Jokowi to address the parliament, and his acceptance of that invitation,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Region | Indonesia and Southeast Asia"","block_context":{"text":"Region | Indonesia and Southeast Asia","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/indonesia-and-southeast-asia\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/02\/morrison-jokowi-900x500-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/02\/morrison-jokowi-900x500-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/02\/morrison-jokowi-900x500-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2020\/02\/morrison-jokowi-900x500-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"featured_image_thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/02\/REGIONAL-WRAP-900.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4318","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/42"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4318"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4318\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}