{"id":4737,"date":"2018-08-23T15:00:10","date_gmt":"2018-08-23T05:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=4737"},"modified":"2018-08-23T14:55:18","modified_gmt":"2018-08-23T04:55:18","slug":"regional-wrap-14","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-14\/","title":{"rendered":"Regional wrap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The last fortnight witnessed the unfolding of dramatic events, turnarounds and some disturbing developments in the Asia Pacific region. The most talked-about development was another <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-08-21\/malcolm-turnbull-survives-leadership-challenge-from-peter-dutton\/10146574\">leadership contest<\/a> within Australia\u2019s ruling Liberal Party in which Home Affairs and Immigration Minister Peter Dutton challenged Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull for the command of the party. The spill was unsuccessful but Dutton, along with several ministers, handed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2018\/aug\/21\/liberal-leadership-dutton-turnbull-energy\">their resignations<\/a> to the prime minister. Experts say that the 48-35 vote in favour of Turnbull was too close for comfort and it\u2019s reasonable to believe that his problems aren\u2019t over by any means and that there could be another challenge to his leadership soon. Shortly after the spill, the government <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-turnbull-government-is-all-but-finished-and-the-liberals-will-now-need-to-work-out-who-they-are-101894?utm_source=twitter&amp;utm_medium=twitterbutton\">survived a no-confidence<\/a> motion by the opposition in the parliament.<\/p>\n<p>The rift within the Liberals is the result of a simmering disaffection among several party members with regard to what they consider Turnbull\u2019s betrayal of the party\u2019s conservative base and values. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/national-affairs\/retreat-on-paris-emissions-target-may-not-save-malcolm-turnbull\/news-story\/32a6534e15017c29e11ff77ca37a880e\">immediate trigger<\/a> was the question over supporting the National Energy Guarantee bill, that formed part of the Australian government\u2019s commitment to cut emissions by 26% under the <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/process-and-meetings\/the-paris-agreement\/the-paris-agreement\">Paris Climate Agreement<\/a> that it signed in 2015. This week, with a view to assuage the concerns of those unhappy with the bill, the Turnbull government announced its decision to walk away from the international treaty. Nonetheless, the move failed to curb the gloom within the party. Such politicking has become a common feature of Australian politics in the last decade, a telling indictment of which is that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/08\/22\/australian-prime-minister-turnbull-to-face-another-leadership-challenge.html\">no prime minister<\/a> has lasted a full term since 2007.<\/p>\n<p>The US has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/video\/2018\/aug\/09\/mike-pence-announces-us-plan-to-create-military-space-force-by-2020-video\">announced its plan<\/a> to create a Space Force as the country\u2019s sixth military service by 2020. The new department <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-08-10\/trump-sets-goal-to-create-us-military-space-force-by-2020\/10103876\">would cover a wide range<\/a> of space-based capabilities including satellites which run the GPS facilities to sensitive missile launch sensors. The discovery of a <a href=\"http:\/\/online.isentialink.com\/theaustralian.com.au\/2018\/08\/16\/1ed56c15-8b70-4ea3-9454-a47d9d221757.html\">mysterious and possibly rogue Russian satellite<\/a> in the last few weeks has reinforced American beliefs of the need to treat the space as a distinct military domain and to prepare for a space arms race with China and Russia. However, critics are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com.au\/trump-space-force-is-dumb-says-nasa-astronaut-2018-6?r=US&amp;IR=T\">questioning<\/a> the utility of a separate department and the costs of the venture given the air force already deals with space threats.<\/p>\n<p>The UN Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination has claimed that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-08-11\/china-holding-1-million--uighurs-in-secret-camps-un-says\/10109290\">China has incarcerated<\/a> more than a million people, mostly ethnic Muslim minority Uighurs, in secret camps or \u2018counter-extremism centres\u2019 and another two million people in \u2018re-education centres\u2019. The PRC has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hrw.org\/news\/2005\/04\/12\/china-religious-repression-uighur-muslims\">history of repressing<\/a> its ethnic and religious minorities, especially in Xinjiang and Tibet, to preserve political and social stability within the country. The recent findings add veracity to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-05-18\/chinese-mass-indoctrination-camps-evoke-cultural-revolution\/9773344\">similar claims<\/a> reported in the media in the last few months. The Chinese government has also stepped up <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/02\/03\/opinion\/sunday\/china-surveillance-state-uighurs.html\">surveillance efforts in Xinjiang<\/a> using the latest technology. Beijing cites a growing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-05-18\/chinese-mass-indoctrination-camps-evoke-cultural-revolution\/9773344\">trend of radical Islamisation<\/a> and separatism in Xinjiang as dangers to the nation\u2019s cohesion but at the same time has rejected the UN\u2019s findings of mass internment of Uighurs as <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-08-13\/china-has-prevented-great-tragedy-in-xinjiang\/10113640\">\u2018completely untrue\u2019<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Taiwan\u2019s president Tsai Ing-wen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/world\/united-states\/taiwan-leader-tsai-ing-wen-makes-rare-us-speech\">became the first Taiwanese leader<\/a> to speak publicly on US soil this fortnight, infuriating Beijing. In her speech at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, Ing-wen extolled the virtues of liberalism and remarked that Taiwan is \u2018willing to jointly promote regional stability and peace under the principles of national interests, freedom and democracy.\u2019 In response, Beijing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/news\/world\/us-politics\/cold-war-is-over-beijing-tells-us\/news-story\/d18fd1b53cc0ce6795a5771cc46f235e\">lodged a formal protest<\/a> with the Washington, calling on the latter to \u2018abandon its Cold War mindset and zero-sum philosophy and view China and Sino-US relations in an objective perspective.\u2019 The US, however, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/china\/diplomacy-defence\/article\/2159735\/us-denies-change-one-china-policy-after-taiwanese\">has denied<\/a> any change to its \u2018One China\u2019 policy.<\/p>\n<p>Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndtv.com\/world-news\/malaysia-pm-mahathir-mohamad-cancels-2-chinese-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-projects-fearing-bankru-1903940\">has cancelled <\/a>two Chinese Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) projects due to fears of bankruptcy. Critics have lauded <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskinsights.com\/2018\/06\/pushback-belt-road-initiative-southeast-asia\/\">Malaysia\u2019s pushback<\/a> against Beijing\u2019s mammoth project and hailed it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gtreview.com\/news\/asia\/malaysia-leads-blowback-against-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative\/\">as an example<\/a> of standing up to China. However, others say that the veteran politician has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/week-asia\/geopolitics\/article\/2160719\/mahathir-mohamad-malaysias-anti-china-rebel-not-so-fast\">displayed pragmatism<\/a> by not alienating China completely. On a visit to the PRC this week, he assured Beijing that his decision to scrap the projects was solely driven by fiscal concerns and not based on geopolitical calculations. On another note, Philippines president Rodrigo Duterte <a href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/world\/asia\/south-china-sea-duterte-warns-china-to-temper-its-behaviour-20180815-p4zxkp.html\">raised the temperature<\/a> with China this fortnight by issuing a rare, direct public criticism of the latter on its aggressive unilateral actions and militarisation in the South China Sea region.<\/p>\n<p>In another part of the Asia Pacific, Russia and Pakistan have signed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/a\/pakistan-russia-sign-military-cooperation-pact\/4519031.html\">a military cooperation pact<\/a> which represents a significant shift in the regional geostrategic equations. The deal will pave the way for Russia to offer training to Pakistan\u2019s armed forces in the wake of US suspending its military cooperation with the latter. Experts also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/news\/world\/pakistan-pivots-toward-putin-s-russia-after-trump-gets-tough-n901536\">attribute<\/a> this development to the strengthening of American and Indian defence and security ties in the last few months.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Indian and Japanese defence ties have grown stronger with the two nations agreeing to hold their first-ever <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/talkingturkey\/two-to-tango-boosting-bilateral-india-japan-defence-cooperation-a-step-in-the-right-direction\/\">joint army exercise<\/a> later this year, which was decided during a defence ministerial dialogue in New Delhi this week. Also, it is reported that Tokyo and New Delhi may sign <a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/india\/india-and-japan-to-negotiate-logistics-sharing-agreement-along-the-lines-of-lemoa\/articleshow\/65493100.cms\">a logistics exchange<\/a> and support agreement during prime minister Modi\u2019s visit to Japan in October this year, which would further augment interoperability between their armed forces.<\/p>\n<p>The Indian state of Kerala experienced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndtv.com\/india-news\/kerala-floods-after-worst-flood-in-100-years-kerala-to-get-cyclone-warning-centre-imd-1904048\">its worst floods in a century<\/a> in the last two weeks. Around <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-india-floods\/death-toll-nears-400-in-indias-flood-hit-kerala-dozens-missing-idUSKCN1L50IB\">400 people are believed to be dead<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-asia-india-45267014\">millions rendered homeless<\/a> and temporarily sheltered in rehabilitation centres. The Indian army and navy have been relentless in their <a href=\"https:\/\/scroll.in\/latest\/891014\/watch-difficult-rescue-missions-give-a-glimpse-of-the-challenges-in-kerala\">relief and rescue efforts<\/a>. Various countries as well as the UN have offered financial aid to the Indian government. However, New Delhi has <a href=\"https:\/\/indianexpress.com\/article\/india\/kerala-floods-on-foreign-aid-india-follows-policy-set-in-tsunami-aftermath-5318338\/\">turned down the assistance offers<\/a>, insisting on being capable of dealing with the disaster by itself, citing a precedent set in the aftermath of the 2004 tsunami relief operations.<\/p>\n<p>This fortnight was earlier marred by Australian senator Fraser Anning\u2019s shocking and xenophobic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sbs.com.au\/news\/full-text-senator-fraser-anning-s-maiden-speech\">maiden speech<\/a> in the federal parliament calling for the revocation of the White Australia policy and ending with the suggestion of finding a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/national\/what-are-we-to-make-of-fraser-anning-s-maiden-speech-20180819-p4zyfk.html\">\u2018final solution\u2019<\/a> to Muslim immigration. This speech and especially its invocation of the memories of the Jewish genocide during the Second World War received <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2018\/aug\/15\/mps-widely-condemn-fraser-annings-final-solution-speech\">all-round condemnation<\/a> and was rejected by both ends of the Australia political spectrum.<\/p>\n<p>Veteran politician and former Indian prime minister, Atal Bihari Vajpayee <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/politics-and-nation\/atal-bihari-vajpayee-death-india-lost-a-great-son-end-of-an-era-says-pranab-mukherjee\/videoshow\/65430037.cms\">passed away<\/a> last week generating a wave of national and international tributes to his legacy and especially his acumen and foresight as a foreign policy realist. His <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/Opinion\/kZI9uaKnH41oM9d7HJdfZO\/The-foreign-policy-legacy-of-Atal-Bihari-Vajpayee.html\">most important achievement<\/a> was to declare India an overt nuclear power by testing its first nuclear bomb and following up with a restrained nuclear doctrine to ensure the prevention of a nuclear arms race in the subcontinent.<\/p>\n<h3>Significance for Australia<\/h3>\n<p>This fortnight marked another tumultuous episode in Australian politics- and it isn\u2019t over yet. The political games over the Liberal party\u2019s leadership continue and at the time of writing, there are speculations that <a href=\"http:\/\/time.com\/5374193\/australia-malcolm-turnbull-peter-dutton\/\">another challenge<\/a> may come to the fore soon. Needless to say, this doesn\u2019t bode well for Australia\u2019s reputation as a developed liberal democracy as it sends a message of political volatility. Also, the Australian government\u2019s vacillating stance on the Paris treaty is inconsistent with its aspirations of supporting a rules-based liberal order and is a blow to the global consensus on the need to prevent climate change.<\/p>\n<p>On another note, the creation of the US Space Force is likely to generate interest and an equal measure of concern Down Under because of its potential to escalate into an uncontrolled arms race in space.<\/p>\n<p>Next, China\u2019s internment and repression of Uighurs is a matter of grave concern to Australia, which hosts a small but prominent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2018-06-24\/uighur-community-in-australia-fear-reports-of-crackdown-in-china\/9824554\">Uighur diaspora<\/a>. In response to the latest reports, foreign minister Julie Bishop <a href=\"https:\/\/www.afr.com\/news\/world\/australian-families-left-devastated-by-chinas-mass-detention-of-uighurs-in-xinjiang-20180815-h13zox\">remarked<\/a> that the Australian government \u2018shares concerns expressed by the international community on the situation in Xinjiang.\u2019 The China Human Rights Watch Coordinator Sophie Richardson has urged Australia to take a more active role in pressing China on the issue but so far Canberra has been quiet. Perhaps given Australia\u2019s recent efforts to \u2018reset\u2019 its bilateral relations with Beijing, after months of bitterness, Canberra finds itself in a delicate spot.<\/p>\n<p>On another front, Mahathir Mohamad\u2019s tactful diplomacy with China and sensible scrapping of unviable BRI projects would be seen favourably by Australia. Canberra has a vested interest in ensuring peace and prosperity in Southeast Asia and this development sets a favourable precedent for other nations facing similar dilemmas.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, the strengthening of Japanese and Indian defence ties is also a welcome prospect for Australia as both these nations feature prominently in Canberra\u2019s Indo-Pacific vision of a secure, prosperous and rules-based order in the region.<\/p>\n<div class=\"label author\">AUTHOR<\/div>\n<div class=\"author-bio\"><strong>Aakriti Bachhawat<\/strong>\u00a0is a Research Intern at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, and Research Assistant at the Griffith Asia Institute.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last fortnight witnessed the unfolding of dramatic events, turnarounds and some disturbing developments in the Asia Pacific region. The most talked-about development was another leadership contest within Australia\u2019s ruling Liberal Party in which Home Affairs and Immigration Minister Peter Dutton challenged Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull for the command of the party. The spill was<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-14\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Regional wrap&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":4032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[233,245,246,247],"tags":[716,689],"class_list":["post-4737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-series","category-china-and-north-east-asia","category-india-and-south-asia","category-indonesia-and-southeast-asia","tag-aakriti-bachhawat","tag-regional-wrap"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Regional wrap | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The last fortnight witnessed the unfolding of dramatic events, turnarounds and some disturbing developments in the Asia Pacific region. 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