{"id":5352,"date":"2019-02-14T13:00:42","date_gmt":"2019-02-14T03:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=5352"},"modified":"2019-02-26T14:50:41","modified_gmt":"2019-02-26T04:50:41","slug":"regional-wrap-21","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-21\/","title":{"rendered":"Regional wrap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The last fortnight was an especially busy one for the Indo-Pacific region\u2019s policymakers. The US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/politics-news\/u-s-suspends-nuclear-treaty-russia-plans-pull-out-6-n965751\">withdrawal<\/a> from the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia delivered a big blow to international non-nuclear proliferation efforts. President Donald Trump accuses Russia of violating the terms of the agreement which has been an instrumental element of nuclear arms control since 1987. The treaty mandated the destruction of short-range land-based missiles and prevented their deployment in Europe. NATO commanders are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/news\/world\/nato-plans-world-without-inf-treaty-stoltenberg-says-n970486\">reportedly<\/a> still trying to salvage the deal but also preparing for \u2018a new era without the Cold War agreement\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>Closer home, political powerplay ahead of Australia\u2019s approaching federal elections, largely dictated the actions and motivations of public figures. While on the defence end of the spectrum, Canberra inked a critical submarine deal with France, on the foreign policy and diplomatic end, Australian officials managed to secure the return of refugee footballer Hakeem Al-Araibi and prevent his extradition to Bahrain from Thailand after much kerfuffle.<\/p>\n<p>In Canberra\u2019s latest attempt to clamp down on foreign interference in the country\u2019s domestic politics, Australia <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.theaustralian.com.au\/national-affairs\/political-donor-huang-xiangmos-permanent-residency-cancelled\/news-story\/82673e955d8e4a53ffa8edfaaee6c4f0\">cancelled<\/a> Chinese billionaire Huang Xiangmo\u2019s permanent visa and refused his citizenship application citing his close association with the Australian Council for the Promotion of the Peaceful Reunification of China, a body linked to the Chinese Communist Party. The business tycoon is now stranded in Hong Kong and <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.theaustralian.com.au\/national-affairs\/political-donor-huang-xiangmos-permanent-residency-cancelled\/news-story\/82673e955d8e4a53ffa8edfaaee6c4f0\">has appealed<\/a> for a review of the decision. Xiangmo has been a major political donor to both sides of politics in Australia and gained prominence after his links to disgraced Labor senator Sam Dastyari became known. He has now asked for both parties to return his donations, with interest.<\/p>\n<p>After a couple of years of uncertainty, Australia and France <a href=\"https:\/\/www.afr.com\/news\/politics\/australia-can-scuttle-french-submarine-if-project-falters-20190211-h1b4bk\">signed<\/a> a major strategic partnership agreement worth $50 billion under which French contractor Naval Group will build twelve of Australia\u2019s Shortfin Barracuda non-nuclear attack class submarines in South Australia. The construction will start in 2023 and the first sea-trials are slated to begin in 2031, following which the first of the submarines should be ready to enter service by 2034, according to current timelines. However, this timeline is debated and analysts worry about a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/opinion\/we-might-sink-decades-before-these-submarines-fly\/news-story\/c216ea613655f40b1de0eba054763e10?utm_source=The%20Australian&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=editorial&amp;utm_content=TodaySHeadlines\">capability gap<\/a> that may arise as a result of any delays.<\/p>\n<p>Foreign minister Marise Payne visited New Zealand this week for the biannual foreign ministers\u2019 meeting. US-China trade wars, intelligence matters and cooperation initiatives on the Pacific Islands were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzherald.co.nz\/nz\/news\/article.cfm?c_id=1&amp;objectid=12202272\">reported<\/a> to be on the agenda. The New Zealand foreign minister Winston Peters was said to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sbs.com.au\/news\/pacific-unity-but-deportations-anger-nz\">have raised<\/a> his disappointment about the increasing deportation of New Zealanders from Australia.<\/p>\n<p>The Taliban has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2019\/02\/taliban-announce-surprise-talks-pakistan-capital-190213174437142.html\">announced<\/a> that it will hold talks with the US in Pakistani capital Islamabad next week, to discuss the terms of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan. Last month\u2019s talks that took place in Qatar, were said to have yielded <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-afghanistan-usa\/very-positive-signals-after-u-s-taliban-talks-sources-idUSKBN1KJ0ML\">positive results<\/a>, according to the two sides. However, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/a\/ghani-voices-concern-about-exclusion-from-us-taliban-talks\/4758962.html\">absence<\/a> of the Afghan government from the negotiations as well as regional stakeholders <a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/india\/us-taliban-peace-dialogue-puts-india-on-a-sticky-wicket\/articleshow\/67727341.cms\">such as India<\/a> has led analysts to slam the peace talks as a sham. There is a real fear that a hasty American withdrawal will pave the way for the resurgence of the barbaric forces of the Taliban and lead to the strengthening of terrorist havens supported by Pakistan. Apart from Afghanistan, the other country most impacted by this development would be India, which has been a target for these terrorist groups for three decades.<\/p>\n<p>Bahraini Australian refugee and football player Hakeem Al-Araibi\u2019s detention in a Thai jail pending extradition to Bahrain led to a three-month long <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.theaustralian.com.au\/national-affairs\/foreign-affairs\/shadowy-diplomacy-behind-hakeem-alaraibis-freedom\/news-story\/d07308895d09a06f6dc9fe2f41c275fe\">stoush<\/a> between Australian, Bahraini and Thai officials. After months of intense lobbying from Australian officials, including prime minister Scott Morrison, foreign minister Marise Payne and special efforts by former Socceroos captain Craig Foster, this week, a Thai court ruled in Al-Araibi\u2019s favour to allow him to return to Australia. Speaking of Thailand, Thai Princess Ubolratana, the king\u2019s eldest sister, made headlines this fortnight by <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.theaustralian.com.au\/latest-news\/thai-princess-disqualified-as-pm-candidate\/news-story\/17dfab22c3c3a5744f4bb093a39b9a9a\">announcing<\/a> her plan to contest the country\u2019s prime ministership at the next elections. However, her candidature was deemed ineligible by the Thai election commission.<\/p>\n<p>Also, the Morrison government suffered the ignominy of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2019\/feb\/12\/morrison-shorten-coalition-labor-medical-evacuation-bill-kerryn-phelps-politics-live\">losing<\/a> its first vote on a proposed legislation (the first time an incumbent government has been defeated in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.news.com.au\/finance\/work\/leaders\/the-morrison-government-lost-a-crucial-vote-so-why-hasnt-an-election-been-called\/news-story\/05ba1101f39aa8e687cf9e9bdbe8d1f2\">77 years<\/a>) introduced by independent MP Kerryn Phelps, to allow asylum seekers on Nauru to be transferred, in cases of medical emergencies, to Australia. The Liberal Party\u2019s defeat led many to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.news.com.au\/finance\/work\/leaders\/the-morrison-government-lost-a-crucial-vote-so-why-hasnt-an-election-been-called\/news-story\/05ba1101f39aa8e687cf9e9bdbe8d1f2\">question<\/a> why the Morrison government didn\u2019t resign immediately, considering it to be vote of no confidence. The Liberal Party adopted a hard-line approach refusing to weaken its asylum-seeker policy and its stance on border protection while Labor supported the motion on humanitarian grounds. Eventually, the government <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2019-02-13\/medical-evacuation-bill-refugees-heads-to-the-senate\/10803666\">blamed<\/a> the Bill Shorten-led opposition for compromising on national security and announced that it will reopen the Christmas Island detention centre.<\/p>\n<p>The Australian parliament was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/politics\/federal\/federal-mps-computer-network-hacked-forcing-passwords-to-be-changed-20190208-p50wgm.html\">targeted<\/a> by a sophisticated hacking attack, that security agencies believe was authorised by a foreign government. The head of the Australian Cyber Security Centre reported that it would take investigators a few weeks or months to ensure that the system is completely secure, adding that it was too early to determine which country was behind the hack. Amid suspicion pointing to China, the Chinese ministry of foreign affairs spokesperson denied the rumours, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/national-affairs\/china-denies-cyber-attack-on-federal-parliament\/news-story\/56b7270fdb217bc3806dead79e778825\">remarked<\/a> that this was \u2018part of a larger smear campaign against China\u2019.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Significance for Australia<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>This fortnight witnessed the intertwining of the domestic and the external in Australia\u2019s foreign policy. While the submarine deal with France is arguably motivated by Defence minister Christopher Pyne and the Liberal Party\u2019s electoral push for creating jobs in the erstwhile manufacturing hub of South Australia, the Medevac bill, while great on compassionate grounds, has nonetheless led analysts and security agencies to worry about the prospect of more refugee boat arrivals and its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.org.au\/australian-border-security-hope-against-hope\/\">impact<\/a> on national security.<\/p>\n<p>The decision to cancel the permanent residency of Chinese tycoon Huang Xiangmo also has a domestic and international ring to it; it is a strong declaration of Australia\u2019s steadfast stance on preserving its institutions from foreign interference and a bipartisan consensus on the same.<\/p>\n<p>Australian policy-makers would worry about the unravelling of the INF treaty between the US and Russia as it represents a significant dampener in the global non-proliferation movement and augurs badly for international peace.<\/p>\n<p>The safe return of Bahraini footballer Al-Araibi is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theaustralian.com.au\/national-affairs\/foreign-affairs\/shadowy-diplomacy-behind-hakeem-alaraibis-freedom\/news-story\/d07308895d09a06f6dc9fe2f41c275fe?fbclid=IwAR1a8TEX53YBfyAJBfrP9s4UxY9Dg22ic-yPTq98Xtfmdj73hJvOicIOV5U\">welcome development<\/a> as well as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/world\/asia\/australia-never-issued-a-red-notice-canberra-fires-back-at-bangkok-over-hakeem-al-araibi-20190207-p50wf0.html\">lesson<\/a> going forward for domestic law-enforcement agencies to verify the identity and background of people they report to Interpol. It\u2019s also a victory for clever and persistent Australian diplomacy which won the day. However, analysts now call for Australia to show the same mettle vis-\u00e0-vis its handling of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com.au\/australians-detained-in-china-uighur-muslim-crackdown-2019-2\">Australian detainees<\/a> in China.<\/p>\n<div class=\"label author\">AUTHOR<\/div>\n<p class=\"author-bio\"><strong>Aakriti Bachhawat<\/strong>\u00a0is a Researcher with the Defence and Strategy team at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, and Research Assistant at the Griffith Asia Institute.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last fortnight was an especially busy one for the Indo-Pacific region\u2019s policymakers. The US withdrawal from the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia delivered a big blow to international non-nuclear proliferation efforts. President Donald Trump accuses Russia of violating the terms of the agreement which has been an instrumental element of nuclear arms<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-21\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Regional wrap&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":4032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[233],"tags":[716,689],"class_list":["post-5352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-series","tag-aakriti-bachhawat","tag-regional-wrap"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Regional wrap | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The last fortnight was an especially busy one for the Indo-Pacific region\u2019s policymakers. 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