{"id":5966,"date":"2019-06-19T08:30:01","date_gmt":"2019-06-18T22:30:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=5966"},"modified":"2023-08-08T19:26:40","modified_gmt":"2023-08-08T09:26:40","slug":"pressure-builds-with-more-protests-in-hong-kong-but-whats-the-end-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/pressure-builds-with-more-protests-in-hong-kong-but-whats-the-end-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Pressure builds with more protests in Hong Kong, but what\u2019s the end game?"},"content":{"rendered":"

CAITLIN BYRNE<\/a>\u00a0 |<\/p>\n

The\u00a0latest protests in Hong Kong<\/a>\u00a0on Sunday, which organisers said brought some 2 million people to the streets, represented yet another striking show of \u201cpeople power\u201d in the semi-autonomous Chinese city.<\/p>\n

Chief Executive Carrie Lam\u2019s efforts to bring calm to Hong Kong included an uncharacteristic about-face on her position over the weekend, a rare apology and the indefinite\u00a0suspension<\/a>\u00a0of the proposed changes to the city\u2019s extradition laws, which sparked the initial protest against the government last weekend.<\/p>\n

But laden with qualifications and a subtle rebuke of the protesters, Lam\u2019s repositioning of the issue has had limited impact, suggesting that she may have seriously underestimated the anger and determination of her constituency. The protesters are now calling for nothing less than her resignation, making her the \u201clightening rod<\/a>\u201d for public anger in the face of growing resentment towards Chinese influence in Hong Kong.<\/p>\n

As the people of Hong Kong continue to take to the streets, one wonders whether the real struggle has only just begun.<\/p>\n

How the fight over the extradition bill mushroomed<\/h2>\n

For many, Lam\u2019s controversial extradition bill represented the \u201cthin edge of the wedge\u201d of Chinese control. If passed, the proposed law could have seen local and foreign criminal suspects sent to mainland China to stand trial in a judicial system that is opaque and vastly uncompromising.<\/p>\n

But there\u2019s much more at stake for the people, identity and prospects of Hong Kong. For those concerned about China\u2019s rising influence in the city, the legislation represented a dangerous break in the firewall that has preserved civil liberties for the people of Hong Kong within the \u201cone country, two systems<\/a>\u201d framework.<\/p>\n

While its proponents claim the bill has a narrow application, many fear it would enable China\u2019s leadership to target political opponents, entrepreneurs and activists as part of its wider strategy for exercising control over the region. The implications for Hong Kong\u2019s reputation as a vibrant global financial, business and transit hub would be significant.<\/p>\n

Of course, the latest demonstrations cannot be viewed in isolation \u2013 they are the latest chapter in Hong Kong\u2019s longstanding tradition of\u00a0public dissent<\/a>. And there have been some notable successes in the past, including the\u00a0indefinite suspension<\/a>\u00a0of plans to implement a national security law in 2003 and the reversal of a proposed\u00a0comprehensive national curriculum<\/a>\u00a0in 2012.<\/p>\n

Yet, as the\u00a02014 Umbrella Movement protests<\/a>\u00a0revealed, the mood in Hong Kong appears to be taking on a more sombre tone. Much of this reflects the changing mood within China.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Protesters in Hong Kong wore black on Sunday night, a striking change from the white apparel worn last week.\u00a0Roman Pilipey\/EPA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Under President Xi Jinping, civil protests \u2014 even those organised in the special autonomous region of Hong Kong \u2014 are increasingly fraught. Xi himself set the tone with a particularly\u00a0hard-line speech<\/a>\u00a0during his 2017 visit to the city for Lam\u2019s swearing-in.<\/p>\n

Flagging new levels of intolerance for activities that might be interpreted as encouraging Hong Kong independence from China, Xi\u00a0noted<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Any attempt to endanger China\u2019s sovereignty and security, challenge the power of the central government \u2026 or use Hong Kong to carry out infiltration and sabotage activities against the mainland is an act that crosses the red line and is absolutely impermissible.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Despite the efforts of China\u2019s state-run Global Times newspaper\u00a0to lay blame<\/a>\u00a0for the \u201cuncontrolled street politics\u201d on \u201cWestern forces\u201d and \u201cmalice from afar\u201d, however, Chinese political authorities have remained relatively quiet on the Hong Kong protests this week.<\/p>\n

This is unsurprising. Coming just a week after the\u00a030th anniversary<\/a>\u00a0of the Tiananmen Square protests, China was never likely to take an openly provocative stance against the protesters.<\/p>\n

But it is clear Beijing is keeping a close eye on the situation,\u00a0pushing back<\/a>\u00a0on criticisms from abroad and now\u00a0possibly wavering<\/a>\u00a0in its support for Lam. Ever sensitive to external critiques that relate to questions of sovereignty, the Chinese government may decide to take a harder line should the protests continue to gather momentum.<\/p>\n

Lack of foreign pressure<\/h2>\n

Thus far, the response to the protests has been relatively muted. The European Union has\u00a0called for the rights<\/a>\u00a0of the Hong Kong people to be respected, noting its concern for the \u201cpotentially far-reaching consequences\u201d of the extradition bill. UK Prime Minister Theresa May, meanwhile, has called on authorities to ensure the extradition arrangements \u201care in line with the rights and freedoms<\/a>\u201d set forth in the joint declaration when the British handed Hong Kong back to China in 1997.<\/p>\n

US President Donald Trump has remained\u00a0ambivalent<\/a>\u00a0so far, saying only last week, \u201cI\u2019m sure they\u2019ll be able to work it all out.\u201d But according to his secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, Trump is now\u00a0expected to raise the issue<\/a>\u00a0when he meets Xi at the G20 Summit at the end of the month. This is only significant insofar as it reminds us of Trump\u2019s transactional interest in the region.<\/p>\n

As for Australia, Foreign Minister Marise Payne issued a fairly neutral\u00a0statement<\/a>\u00a0in support of the Hong Kong people\u2019s right to protest. It left many, including those in\u00a0Sydney, Melbourne and elsewhere<\/a>\u00a0who protested in support of Hong Kong last week, somewhat underwhelmed.<\/p>\n

Beyond the protests, how the current tensions unfold will have serious implications for Australia\u2019s engagement in the region and our ongoing relationship with China. The\u00a02017 Foreign Policy White Paper<\/a>\u00a0reinforces the core values underpinning our international engagement, including support for political, economic and religious freedoms, liberal democracy and the rule of law.<\/p>\n

How and when we articulate our commitment to these values, and reinforce their place in our region, will be the key test of our diplomacy going forward.<\/p>\n

\"\"
As protesters turn their ire on Carrie Lam, the Chinese government may retreat from its support for her.\u00a0Roman Pilipey\/EPA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Where do the protests go from here?<\/h2>\n

Lam\u2019s decision to suspend consideration of the extradition bill offers a necessary moment for pause. But it hasn\u2019t taken the heat out of the protests.<\/p>\n

At this stage, Lam hasn\u2019t backed away from her intent to revive the bill at a later stage. It\u2019s also likely the Chinese government will continue to press towards that outcome, though perhaps in a different form and even under different leadership. Much hangs in the balance.<\/p>\n

Hong Kong\u2019s protesters appear galvanised by their cause. But whether they can sustain the necessary momentum for the long game \u2014 where crossing red lines may come at a cost \u2014 is another matter altogether.<\/p>\n

AUTHOR<\/div>\n

Professor Caitlin Byrne<\/strong>\u00a0is Director of the Griffith Asia Institute. This article first appeared at The Conversation<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

CAITLIN BYRNE\u00a0 | The\u00a0latest protests in Hong Kong\u00a0on Sunday, which organisers said brought some 2 million people to the streets, represented yet another striking show of \u201cpeople power\u201d in the semi-autonomous Chinese city. Chief Executive Carrie Lam\u2019s efforts to bring calm to Hong Kong included an uncharacteristic about-face on her position over the weekend, a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":5971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[233,245],"tags":[1303,975,974],"class_list":["post-5966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-series","category-china-and-north-east-asia","tag-caitlin-byrne","tag-extradition-bill","tag-hong-kong-protest"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"\nPressure builds with more protests in Hong Kong, but what\u2019s the end game? | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"CAITLIN BYRNE\u00a0 | The\u00a0latest protests in Hong Kong\u00a0on Sunday, which organisers said brought some 2 million people to the streets, represented yet another\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/pressure-builds-with-more-protests-in-hong-kong-but-whats-the-end-game\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pressure builds with more protests in Hong Kong, but what\u2019s the end game? 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