{"id":6296,"date":"2019-08-23T08:30:32","date_gmt":"2019-08-22T22:30:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=6296"},"modified":"2023-08-06T10:28:09","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T00:28:09","slug":"can-scott-morrison-deliver-on-climate-change-in-tuvalu-or-is-his-pacific-step-up-doomed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/can-scott-morrison-deliver-on-climate-change-in-tuvalu-or-is-his-pacific-step-up-doomed\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Scott Morrison deliver on climate change in Tuvalu \u2013 or is his Pacific \u2018step up\u2019 doomed?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

TESS NEWTON CAIN<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week\u2019s\u00a0Pacific Islands Forum<\/a>\u00a0comes at an important time in the overall trajectory of Prime Minister Scott Morrison\u2019s very personal commitment to an\u00a0Australian \u201cstepping up\u201d in the Pacific<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To paraphrase the PM, you have to show up to step up. And after skipping last year\u2019s Pacific Islands Forum<\/a>, Morrison has certainly been doing a fair amount of showing up around the region, with visits to Vanuatu and Fiji<\/a> at the beginning of the year and the Solomon Islands<\/a>immediately after his election victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Add to this his recent hosting<\/a> of the new PNG prime minister, James Marape, and it is clear there has been significant energy devoted to establishing personal relationships with some of the leaders he will sit down with this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An \u2018existential threat\u2019 to the region<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Regional politics and diplomacy in the Pacific are not for the faint of heart. It\u2019s clear from the tone of recent statements by Foreign Minister Marise Payne<\/a> and the minister for international development and the Pacific, Alex Hawke<\/a>, that there is some disquiet ahead of the Tuvalu get-together.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And with good reason. For some time, the leaders of the region have been becoming increasingly vocal about the lack of meaningful action from Canberra when it comes to climate change mitigation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Most recently, ten of the Pacifc Islands Development Forum<\/a> (PIDF) members signed the Nadi Bay Declaration<\/a>, which advocated a complete move away from coal production and specifically criticised using \u201cKyoto carryover credits\u201d as a means of achieving Paris targets on reducing emissions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While this body does not have the regional clout of the Pacific Islands Forum, its membership includes key players, notably Fiji, Tuvalu, and the Republic of the Marshall Islands, whose leaders have all spoken out strongly on the need for stronger action on climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a speech<\/a> last month, Fijian Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama urged his fellow Pacific leaders to withstand any attempts to water down commitments on climate challenge in the region and globally.Bainimarama\u2019s warning: \u2018Our region remains on the front line of humanity\u2019s greatest challenges\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bainimarama is attending this year\u2019s Pacific Islands Forum for the first time since 2007, and has already made his presence felt. Earlier this week, he urged<\/a> Australia to transition as quickly as possible from coal to renewable energy sources, because the Pacific faces<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

an existential threat that you don\u2019t face and challenges we expect your governments and people to more fully appreciate.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Losing credibility on its \u2018step up\u2019<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Given the state of Australia\u2019s domestic politics when it comes to making climate change action more of a priority, it is hard to see how Morrison can deliver what the \u201cPacific family<\/a>\u201d is asking for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recent announcement of A$500 million<\/a> to help Pacific nations invest in renewable energy and fund climate resilience programs is sure to be welcomed by Pacific leaders. As is the pledge for A$16m<\/a> to help tackle marine plastic pollution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But none of this money is new money \u2013 it\u2019s being redirected from the aid budget. And it does not answer the call of Pacific leaders for Australia to do better when it comes to cutting emissions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
An aerial view of Funafuti, the most populous of Tuvalu\u2019s country\u2019s nine atolls. Mick Tsikas\/AAP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Why does this matter? Because it\u2019s becoming increasingly obvious that the inability \u2013 or refusal \u2013 to be part of the team when it comes to climate change is undermining Australia\u2019s entire \u201cPacific step-up\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Morrison, and the Australian leadership more broadly, want to reassure Pacific leaders that Australia\u2019s increased attention on the region is not just all about trying to counter Chinese influence, this is where the rubber hits the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is not about whether China is doing better when it comes to climate change mitigation than Australia. The Pacific has greater expectations of Australia, not least because Australian leaders have been at pains to tell the region, and the world, that this is where they live – that Pacific islanders are their \u201cfamily<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And for Pacific islanders, if you are family, then there are obligations. This week, as has been the case previously, Pacific leaders will make clear that addressing climate change is their top priority<\/a>, not geopolitical anxieties<\/a> over China\u2019s increasing role in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is little doubt that Australia\u2019s \u201cPacific step-up\u201d is driven by concerns about the rising influence of China. But Morrison knows better than to voice concerns of that type \u2013 at least in public \u2013 while in Tuvalu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Numerous Pacific leaders have made it clear that as far as they are concerned, partnerships with Beijing (for those that have them) provide for greater opportunity and choice<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While they welcome renewed ties with traditional partners like Australia and New Zealand, they maintain a \u201cfriends to all and enemies to none\u201d approach to foreign policy. That is unlikely to change any time soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Tuvalu\u2019s Prime Minister Enele Sopoaga has warned Australia that its Pacific \u2018step up\u2019 could be undermined by a refusal to act on climate change. Mick Tsikas\/AAP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Will Tuvalu prove a turning point?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Tuvalu Prime Minister Enele Sopoaga may well be hoping<\/a> that when Morrison sees for himself how climate change is affecting his country, he will be so moved personally, he will shift Australia\u2019s stance politically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeed, on arrival in the capital of Funafuti this week, leaders are being met by children sitting in pools of seawater singing a specially written song \u201cSave Tuvalu, Save the World\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So what can Morrison realistically be expected to achieve during the summit? He will be able to demonstrate Australia\u2019s commitment to other issues that are important to regional security, such as transnational and organised crime and illegal fishing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He can also hope the personal relationships he has cultivated with Pacific leaders deliver returns by way of compromise around the wording of the final communique, if only to avoid a diplomatic stoush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But if there is no real commitment to cutting greenhouse gas emissions, he will leave plenty of frustration behind when he returns to Australia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AUTHOR <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tess Newton Cain<\/strong> is an Adjunct Associate Professor at the Griffith Asia Institute.<\/p>\n\n\n

This article first appeared at The Conversation<\/a>.<\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

TESS NEWTON CAIN\u00a0 |\u00a0 Last week\u2019s\u00a0Pacific Islands Forum\u00a0comes at an important time in the overall trajectory of Prime Minister Scott Morrison\u2019s very personal commitment to an\u00a0Australian \u201cstepping up\u201d in the Pacific. To paraphrase the PM, you have to show up to step up. And after skipping last year\u2019s Pacific Islands Forum, Morrison has certainly been doing […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":6297,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[233,248],"tags":[842,990,1275],"class_list":["post-6296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-series","category-png-and-the-pacific","tag-climate-change","tag-pacific-step-up","tag-tess-newton-cain"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"\nCan Scott Morrison deliver on climate change in Tuvalu \u2013 or is his Pacific \u2018step up\u2019 doomed? | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"TESS NEWTON CAIN\u00a0 |\u00a0 Last week\u2019s\u00a0Pacific Islands Forum\u00a0comes at an important time in the overall trajectory of Prime Minister Scott Morrison\u2019s very\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/can-scott-morrison-deliver-on-climate-change-in-tuvalu-or-is-his-pacific-step-up-doomed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can Scott Morrison deliver on climate change in Tuvalu \u2013 or is his Pacific \u2018step up\u2019 doomed? 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