{"id":8120,"date":"2020-11-19T13:00:07","date_gmt":"2020-11-19T03:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=8120"},"modified":"2020-11-19T10:06:29","modified_gmt":"2020-11-19T00:06:29","slug":"regional-wrap-62","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/regional-wrap-62\/","title":{"rendered":"Regional wrap | 62"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The past fortnight provided yet another indication of how bizarre this year has been: President Donald Trump\u2019s refusal to concede<\/a> the election, despite losing it by a big margin, is another memory of 2020 we\u2019d like to quickly forget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Election results and \u2018truth decay\u2019<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the projected winner<\/a> of the election and has received congratulatory phone calls from several world leaders, including Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison. However, Trump and his supporters continue to spread conspiracy theories of electoral fraud and rigging, without evidence. As former President Barack Obama remarked in a recent interview<\/a>: Trump\u2019s era has ushered in a period of \u2018truth decay\u2019, \u2018\u2026the sense that not only do we not have to tell the truth, but the truth doesn\u2019t even matter.\u2019 Ultimately, this election reflected America\u2019s growing and deepening divisions which have become visceral in recent years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

President-Elect Biden has promised<\/a> to restore America\u2019s place in the world, including rejoining the Paris Climate Change Accords, the World Health Organization and revisiting the nuclear deal with Iran. While this will be welcomed by the global community, there are real fears of what damage a \u2018lame duck\u2019 President Trump could wreak in the next couple of months to make Biden\u2019s task more difficult. Trump has already fired a few key officials, including Defense Secretary Mark Esper, who he fired via a tweet. However, the biggest test that awaits President Biden will be in the Indo-Pacific, and how his administration handles the China challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Morrison-Suga summit and a new Indo-Pacific defence pact<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moving on, Prime Minister Morrison is visiting<\/a> Japan this week to meet his new Japanese counterpart, Yoshihide Suga. The two sides have finalised what\u2019s being hailed as a \u2018historic\u2019 defence pact called the Reciprocal Access Agreement, which will facilitate mutual visits by military personnel to each other\u2019s shores and intensify cooperation. While the agreement needs official ratification from the Japanese parliament, Morrison remarked yesterday that this deal marks a \u2018pivotal moment in the history of Japan-Australia ties.\u2019 He further added, \u2018It will form a key plank of Australia\u2019s and Japan\u2019s response to an increasingly challenging security environment in our region amid more uncertain strategic circumstances.\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Morrison was originally scheduled<\/a> to travel to Papua New Guinea after his meetings in Japan but cancelled it after Prime Minister James Marape asked him to postpone it, citing a growing political crisis in the island nation. The Australian prime minister was due to announce a new loan worth $142 million to PNG and a bailout plan for Pacific airlines. However, Marape is facing a mass defection of his MPs to former Prime Minister Peter O\u2019Neill\u2019s camp, which forced him to postpone the meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Going back to Indo-Pacific defence ties, the Malabar naval exercise entered<\/a> its second phase this week in the northern Arabian Sea. Remarkably, two aircraft carriers, the USS Nimitz and India\u2019s Vikramaditya are participating in these exercises involving the militaries of the four Quad nations. Importantly, this week, the US Navy announced its plans<\/a> to create a new fleet in the Indian Ocean, called the First Fleet, which could be headquartered either in Singapore or in Australia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RCEP and Summit Season in Asia<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This was a pivotal fortnight for the region economically as well, as 15 nations, including 10 from ASEAN plus China, Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea signed<\/a> the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, after years of negotiations. Kyle Springer sums it up succinctly, \u2018The main idea behind RCEP is that by uniting the \u201cnoodle bowl\u201d of several individual \u201cASEAN+1\u201d trade agreements that exist between ASEAN and the five other RCEP members into a single agreement, it can establish a consistent and definitive trade regime in the Indo-Pacific region.\u2019 The absence of the US and India from the deal is significant and a key flaw of the Indo-Pacific economic project.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Springer notes, RCEP is far from being a China-led initiative designed to further its economic dominance; it will actually bind Beijing \u2018to a multilateral, rules-based economic order despite its preference for bilateral economic engagement.\u2019 Moreover, it\u2019s economies such as Indonesia and Vietnam that will become the next economic powerhouses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The East Asia Summit and the ASEAN-Australia Summit took place virtually for the first time ever last weekend. While Covid-19 health and economic recovery attracted<\/a> the bulk of the attention at the former, Prime Minister Morrison announced<\/a> an additional aid package worth more than $550 million for Southeast Asia during the latter. The aid will be directed towards vaccines, disaster resilience and recovery efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China\u2019s stoush with Australia<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

China\u2019s problems with Australia seem never-ending. This week an anonymous Chinese official sent<\/a> a list of Beijing\u2019s grievances with Canberra to a media outlet and range from what China sees as Australia\u2019s unfair attempts to block Chinese investments to Australia\u2019s \u2018interference\u2019 in Hong Kong, Taiwan and Xinjiang and also its temerity to seek an investigation into the origins of Covid-19. The Australian government, on its part, has rejected the claims and reiterated that Canberra\u2019s position on these issues is reasonable and that all its decisions are in its \u2018national interest\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Speaking of Hong Kong, Australian Foreign Minister Marise Payne issued<\/a> a statement last week criticising the Chinese government\u2019s decision to disqualify pro-democracy politicians. As a result, the remaining pro-democracy opposition leaders have threatened to resign in protest. Payne said that this decision \u2018seriously undermines Hong Kong\u2019s democratic processes and institutions, as well as the high degree of autonomy set out in the Basic Law and Sino-British Joint Declaration.\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Furthermore, China imposed<\/a> new trade sanctions on Australian products earlier this fortnight, targeting lobster, timber and wheat this time. These actions, as Michael Shoebridge opines, are unlikely to cause Australia to stop taking decisions to protect its national interests, and in fact, might potentially backfire and \u2018Australians don\u2019t like being bullied\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Significance for Australia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

President Trump\u2019s departure from the White House will bring relief to policymakers in Canberra, as around the world. However, as numerous analysts have written, President Biden will face a critical test in managing the emerging great power rivalry with China. For all its faults, as John Lee argues<\/a>, the Trump administration must be credited for being clear-eyed and blunt about China\u2019s revisionism and aggression in the region, something in which Obama failed. There is already a fear that Biden might prioritise America\u2019s relations with Europe over Asia, something that is being talked<\/a> about a lot in the context of his potential choice for the post of Secretary of State, Susan Rice. However, the nature of China\u2019s actions make it imperative for the next US president to maintain focus in the region and \u2018keep the heat on China\u2019, as Lee puts it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall this has been a more than satisfactory fortnight for Australia; Morrison\u2019s successful visit to Japan and further shoring of defence ties, productive East Asia and ASEAN-Australia summits, and the signing of RCEP are important highlights, which portend long term positive trends for Australia. Canberra\u2019s prioritisation of Southeast Asia and the Indo-Pacific couldn\u2019t be clearer. One dampener amid all this is India\u2019s refusal to sign up to RCEP, which is arguably flawed in its logic and reflects a deeply protectionist mindset of the current government, something which is neither good for the country and nor for the region. As former Indian foreign secretary Shyam Saran notes<\/a>, India\u2019s reticence to join the RCEP and its apparent downgrading of representation at the East Asia Summit this year present bleak prospects for India\u2019s \u2018Act East Asia\u2019 Policy. Canberra would hope for a quick reversal of this trajectory, if that is indeed the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AUTHOR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aakriti Bachhawat<\/strong> is a Researcher with the Defence and Strategy team at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, and Research Assistant at the Griffith Asia Institute<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US election results and ‘truth decay’
\nRCEP done and dusted
\nMorrison-Suga summit and a new Indo-Pacific defence pact <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":4032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1053,245,246,247,248,1029],"tags":[716,1514,1513,1510,1281,1008,1486],"class_list":["post-8120","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-australia","category-china-and-north-east-asia","category-india-and-south-asia","category-indonesia-and-southeast-asia","category-png-and-the-pacific","category-regional-wrap","tag-aakriti-bachhawat","tag-east-asia-summit","tag-indo_pacific","tag-joe-biden","tag-scott-morrison","tag-south-east-asia","tag-us-election"],"acf":[],"modified_by":null,"yoast_head":"\nRegional wrap | 62 | Griffith Asia 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