{"id":8697,"date":"2021-10-25T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-24T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=8697"},"modified":"2023-08-06T13:36:54","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T03:36:54","slug":"storm-warning-chinese-grey-zone-futures-inbound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/storm-warning-chinese-grey-zone-futures-inbound\/","title":{"rendered":"Storm warning: Chinese grey zone futures inbound"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/peter-layton\/\">PETER LAYTON<\/a>\u00a0|  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As competition with China deepens, the nation\u2019s use of gray zone techniques is becoming of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/cimsec.org\/andrew-s-erickson-and-ryan-d-martinson-discuss-chinas-maritime-gray-zone-operations\/\">increasing importance and interest<\/a>. China has been using this approach for many years in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eastasiaforum.org\/2021\/01\/13\/covid-19-masks-mischief-in-the-south-china-sea\/\">South China Sea<\/a>, the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbr.org\/publication\/chinas-gray-zone-capabilities-in-the-east-china-sea\/\">East China Sea,&nbsp;<\/a>and the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iiss.org\/blogs\/analysis\/2020\/06\/india-china-border-crisis-beijing-ambitions\">India\/China border<\/a>, to name some prominent examples. Understanding the history behind these is important, but equally so is where China\u2019s gray zone stratagems may be heading. In this, we live in the future, not the past.&nbsp;Understanding the direction towards which Chinese gray zone activities may evolve could give early warning about China\u2019s likely next steps. Suitable responses could then be considered and implemented in a measured manner, without the time pressures induced by a sudden, unexpected crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article discusses three forward-leaning aspects: long-term trends, wild cards, and the shape of China\u2019s future gray zone actions. Considered together, these outline future Chinese gray zone possibilities at the strategic and tactical levels, helping avoid potentially nasty surprises.&nbsp;Gray zone as used here builds on Michael Mazarr\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/publications.armywarcollege.edu\/pubs\/2372.pdf\">seminal work<\/a>. Crucially, gray zone techniques are distinct from hybrid warfare. Gray zone techniques do not involve deliberate armed violence; hybrid warfare does, as defined in Frank Hoffman\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/cco.ndu.edu\/news\/article\/1680696\/examining-complex-forms-of-conflict-gray-zone-and-hybrid-challenges\/\">influential examinations<\/a>. In recent years, China has doubled down on gray zone activities while&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/cepa.org\/the-evolution-of-russian-hybrid-warfare-introduction\/\">Russia remains attracted<\/a>&nbsp;to hybrid warfare. Neither the activities nor the countries should be conflated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Please click here to read the full &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/cimsec.org\/storm-warning-chinese-gray-zone-futures-inbound\/\">Storm warning: Chinese grey zone futures inbound<\/a>&#8221; article published at the Center for International Maritime Security, written by Griffith Asia Institute Visiting Fellow, Dr Peter Layton.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PETER LAYTON\u00a0| As competition with China deepens, the nation\u2019s use of gray zone techniques is becoming of&nbsp;increasing importance and interest. China has been using this approach for many years in the&nbsp;South China Sea, the&nbsp;East China Sea,&nbsp;and the&nbsp;India\/China border, to name some prominent examples. Understanding the history behind these is important, but equally so is where<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/storm-warning-chinese-grey-zone-futures-inbound\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Storm warning: Chinese grey zone futures inbound&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":8698,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1170,245,1057],"tags":[284,728,685,1082],"class_list":["post-8697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-china-and-north-east-asia","category-security","tag-china","tag-grey-zone-tactics","tag-grey-zone-operations","tag-peter-layton"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Storm warning: Chinese grey zone futures inbound | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"PETER LAYTON\u00a0| As competition with China deepens, the nation\u2019s use of gray zone techniques is becoming of&nbsp;increasing importance and interest. China\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/storm-warning-chinese-grey-zone-futures-inbound\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Storm warning: Chinese grey zone futures inbound | Griffith Asia Insights\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"PETER LAYTON\u00a0| As competition with China deepens, the nation\u2019s use of gray zone techniques is becoming of&nbsp;increasing importance and interest. 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