{"id":8947,"date":"2022-02-18T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-17T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=8947"},"modified":"2023-08-07T10:25:30","modified_gmt":"2023-08-07T00:25:30","slug":"south-east-asia-snapshot-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/south-east-asia-snapshot-20\/","title":{"rendered":"Southeast Asia Snapshot #20"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/sovinda-po\/\">SOVINDA PO<\/a>  |   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cambodia to not invite Myanmar Foreign Minister to ASEAN Ministerial Meeting<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>On 3 February 2022, Cambodia announced that it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.taiwannews.com.tw\/en\/news\/4430359\">would not invite<\/a> Myanmar\u2019s Foreign Minister to the ASEAN Foreign Ministerial Meeting to be held 16 and 17 February. Instead, Cambodia will only invite Myanmar\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/amp\/cambodia-says-myanmar-junta-s-foreign-minister-not-invited-to-upcoming-asean-meeting\/6424640.html\">nonpolitical representative<\/a> to attend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prime Minister Hun Sen had <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/Politics\/International-relations\/ASEAN-excludes-Myanmar-foreign-minister-from-mid-Feb.-meeting\">previously expressed his intention<\/a> to invite the junta leader to the meeting, but he did not do so for two reasons. First, there is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/live-news\/20220203-myanmar-foreign-minister-barred-from-asean-meet-cambodia\">disagreement<\/a> among ASEAN members, with some still opposed to the military-installed foreign minister Wanna Maung Lwin. Second, Myanmar has not made adequate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bangkokpost.com\/world\/2258171\/cambodia-says-non-political-myanmar-rep-invited-to-asean-meeting\">progress<\/a> in the implementation of the five-point consensus agreed by ASEAN in 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Cambodia <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rappler.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/asean-exclude-myanmar-foreign-minister-meeting-february-2022\/\">expressed concerns<\/a> regarding the continued violence in Myanmar, a Cambodian Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated it was better to have a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ucanews.com\/news\/cambodia-will-not-invite-myanmar-to-asean-meeting\/95975\">non-political delegate<\/a> for the meeting rather than having no representative at all. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/cambodia-says-non-political-myanmar-rep-invited-asean-meeting-2022-02-03\/\">junta has not yet responded<\/a> to the announcement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite that, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thaipbsworld.com\/myanmars-u-chan-aye-to-attend-asean-retreat\/?fbclid=IwAR3DKEfgCuTKzTmUy_fCtZfnjpvI1q-nD1VPXLPup3RY29wPXF-9iz4PwIU\">it was rumored<\/a> that Myanmar would send U Chan Aye, a non-political senior official, to attend the meeting, however, this has not been officially confirmed. This event is another example of ASEAN\u2019s firm approach to the situation in Myanmar in hopes to make progress toward the implementation of the five-point consensus, yet there is still much to be achieved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Min Aung Hlaing agrees to let ASEAN Envoy meet the NLD Members<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>In a surprising move, the military junta\u2019s leader has agreed to allow ASEAN Special Envoy Prak Sokhonn, the incumbent Foreign Minister of Cambodia, <a href=\"https:\/\/worldnationnews.com\/myanmar-junta-chief-said-asean-envoy-can-meet-suu-kyi-party-members-cambodia\/\">to meet Aung San Suu Kyi\u2019s party members<\/a> on a future visit to Myanmar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thejakartapost.com\/paper\/2022\/02\/07\/junta-allows-asean-envoy-to-meet-nld-members.html\">commitment was stated in the virtual meeting<\/a> between Prime Minister Hun Sen and the junta\u2019s leader on 26 January. The General, however, did <a href=\"https:\/\/www.khmertimeskh.com\/501020987\/myanmars-military-chief-says-asean-envoy-could-meet-with-party-members-of-aung-san-suu-kyi\/\">not specify which members<\/a> of Suu Kyi\u2019s National League for Democracy (NLD) party the Special Envoy would meet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kao Kim Hourn, a Cambodian Senior Minister and ally to the Prime Minister, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/asia\/southeast-asia\/article\/3166120\/myanmars-junta-chief-says-asean-envoy-can-meet-suu-kyi\">doubted<\/a> that Prak Sokhonn would not be able to meet with Aung Sann Suu Kyi on his first visit and, as the aim is to meet relevant stakeholders, this could be a sign of <a href=\"https:\/\/voi.id\/en\/amp\/132241\/myanmar-military-regime-leader-allows-asean-envoy-to-meet-party-member-aung-san-suu-kyi\">multiple future visits<\/a>. The junta\u2019s spokesman, however, has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/myanmar-junta-chief-said-asean-envoy-can-meet-suu-kyi-party-members-cambodian-2022-02-07\/\">not been reachable for comments<\/a> on the announcement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In allowing the ASEAN Special Envoy to visit NLD party members, this approach seems to be a softening of Myanmar\u2019s stance toward ASEAN. Meeting Suu Kyi\u2019s party members shall be a breakthrough for Cambodia, particularly when compared to the <a href=\"https:\/\/mainichi.jp\/english\/articles\/20211013\/p2a\/00m\/0in\/031000c\">previous ASEAN chair<\/a>. However, until the visit to Myanmar actually takes place, the pledge remains just a verbal commitment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Indonesia orders the purchase of 42 Rafale jetfighters from France<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>The Indonesian government <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bangkokpost.com\/world\/2262099\/indonesia-signs-deal-with-france-to-buy-6-rafale-warplanes\">ordered its first six Rafale jets from France<\/a> on 10 February 2022 in a deal that will result in 42 Rafale jets, ammunition and submarine development, worth over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/aerospace-defense\/indonesia-orders-42-rafale-jets-french-defence-minister-says-2022-02-10\/#:~:text=JAKARTA%2C%20Feb%2010%20(Reuters),arms%20client%20in%20the%20region\">$8.1 billion<\/a>. This deal makes Indonesia the largest buyers of French arms in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first six Rafale jets will be delivered to Indonesia <a href=\"https:\/\/www.airforce-technology.com\/news\/dassault-aviation-rafale-fighter-jets\/\">next month<\/a> while the remaining will be delivered <a href=\"https:\/\/news.am\/eng\/news\/686293.html\">in late 2022 or into 2023<\/a>. Indonesia chose this specific jet based on its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/asia-pacific\/20220210-indonesia-signs-deal-with-france-to-buy-rafale-warplanes-as-paris-rethinks-regional-alliances\">capabilities, operational efficiency<\/a> and also given that the model is undergoing a development program <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/indonesia-inks-rafale-fighter-jet-deal-with-france\/a-60724777\">worth over \u20ac2 billion<\/a>. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The French Armed Force Minister commended the <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/Politics\/Indonesia-signs-deal-to-buy-Rafale-jets-from-France\">modernization of Indonesia\u2019s defense force<\/a> which would play a vital role in the region. Dassault Aviation \u2013 the aircraft manufacturer \u2013 applauded the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dassault-aviation.com\/en\/group\/press\/press-kits\/indonesia-purchases-the-rafale\/\">long-term partnership<\/a> with Indonesia as a way to increase its presence in the region. Indonesia has demonstrated commitment to <a href=\"https:\/\/voi.id\/en\/news\/133446\/president-jokowi-meets-minister-of-the-french-armed-forces-to-discuss-defense-sector-cooperation\">establishing defense cooperation<\/a> with France while also seeking to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aerotime.aero\/30189-indonesia-orders-42-french-rafale-fighter-jets\">upgrade its air force<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This upgrade indicates Indonesia\u2019s ambition to boost its capability and maritime status, but it could also harden the tension with China in the South China Sea and complicate negotiations on the ASEAN Code of Conduct on the South China Sea set to conclude in 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Amnesty International could face expulsion from Thailand<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>On 11 February 2022, an aide to Thailand\u2019s Prime Minister threatened to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.channelnewsasia.com\/asia\/thailand-prayut-chan-ocha-aide-seeks-expulsion-amnesty-international-royalists-2493091\">expel Amnesty International from Thailand<\/a> as some groups have accused it of undermining Thailand\u2019s national security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>About <a href=\"https:\/\/news.blackorangestore.com\/thai-pms-aide-seeks-to-expel-rights-group-amnesty-worldwide\/\">1.2 million signatures have been gathered<\/a> in a petition opposing Amnesty International to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bangkokpost.com\/thailand\/politics\/2262883\/anti-amnesty-international-drive-picks-up\">submitted<\/a> to the Ministry of Interior and the National Security Council in the following week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Royalist supporters have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nst.com.my\/world\/world\/2022\/02\/770719\/thai-pms-aide-seeks-expel-rights-group-amnesty-international\">accused Amnesty International of backing<\/a> groups that seek to depose the Thai monarchy and also empower <a href=\"http:\/\/thetimes.my\/news\/220211213524\/12\/PM%E2%80%99s-aide-seeks-to-expel-Amnesty-from-Thailand.html\">anti-government and anti-constitutional movements<\/a> in the country. Prime Minister Prayut <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/world\/articles\/2022-02-11\/thai-pms-aide-seeks-to-expel-rights-group-amnesty-international\">ordered an investigation of the human rights organization<\/a> in November, however, he has not make any public announcement of the potential expulsion. Amnesty International continues to encourage the Thai government to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/asia\/southeast-asia\/article\/3166767\/thai-pms-aide-seeks-expel-rights-group-amnesty\">value its human rights pledge<\/a> and abide by international human rights law.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With signatures in petitions continuing to grow, the anti-Amnesty International sentiment is starting to gain momentum. This reveals the strong support of the Thai people towards their monarchy, despite the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/a\/thailand-facing-crackdown-on-freedoms\/6400615.html\">accusations of human rights violations in Thailand<\/a>. In contrast, some are concerned that if Amnesty International is expelled from Thailand, it could signal a deterioration of human rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"author label\"><strong>AUTHOR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-47a196c9-a613-481d-b5c2-a12f4e3f194e\"><em><strong>Sovinda<\/strong> <strong>Po<\/strong>&nbsp;is a Research Assistant at the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\">Griffith Asia Institute<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SOVINDA PO | Cambodia to not invite Myanmar Foreign Minister to ASEAN Ministerial Meeting On 3 February 2022, Cambodia announced that it would not invite Myanmar\u2019s Foreign Minister to the ASEAN Foreign Ministerial Meeting to be held 16 and 17 February. Instead, Cambodia will only invite Myanmar\u2019s nonpolitical representative to attend. Prime Minister Hun Sen<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/south-east-asia-snapshot-20\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Southeast Asia Snapshot #20&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":8233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[247,1413],"tags":[540,344,369,1517,1079,430],"class_list":["post-8947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-indonesia-and-southeast-asia","category-south-east-asia-snapshot","tag-asean","tag-indonesia","tag-myanmar","tag-south-east-asia-snapshot","tag-sovinda-po","tag-thailand"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.6 - 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