{"id":8982,"date":"2022-03-08T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-07T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=8982"},"modified":"2022-03-13T20:00:20","modified_gmt":"2022-03-13T10:00:20","slug":"australias-ukraine-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/australias-ukraine-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia’s Ukraine policy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

ELIZABETH BUCHANAN | <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australia has committed a significant aid package to Ukraine and applied further sanctions against Russia. Though this European security crisis unfolds far beyond the region, Australia\u2019s response aligns with its strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Russia-Ukraine war has been simmering away since 2014 when Moscow annexed Crimea. Over the past eight years, Kyiv attempted many times to engage Western leaders and draw Western assistance. In response, the West applied sanctions to Russia, seeking to change Kremlin behaviour towards Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In many ways, the sanctions approach was \u201ctidy\u201d \u2013 it communicated displeasure with the Kremlin and indicated principled support for Ukraine. But this policy is largely about signaling, and one does query the efficacy of sanctions if they fail to shape or change behaviour or are used as a \u201cbandaid\u201d solution to simply signal a political position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When the Kremlin opted for a policy of full-scale invasion last week, it still elicited a sanctions-centric policy response from the West. Since then, Australia\u2019s Ukraine policy has grown some (inadvertent) teeth via a commitment to $70 million of lethal aid \u2013 for NATO to purchase ammunition and small Javelin missiles. Australia has also pledged $35 million dollars of non-lethal aid as humanitarian support to the Ukrainian people. Australia is broadening visa opportunities to Ukrainians wanting to leave the country. Canberra has also strengthened Russian sanctions considerably, targeting oligarchs and politicians, including over 300 members of the Russian parliament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australia\u2019s current dual-policy approach of sanctions on Russia and a mix of lethal and non-lethal aid to Ukraine serves the Australian interest in upholding the current liberal rules-based order\u2014an order based on values that align with Canberra\u2019s and from which Australia benefits. The emerging challenge for Canberra is now, of course, that the Indo-Pacific is shaping up to host a different international order and values system. This will curtail future Australian strategy in the region if solely pinned to value-based propositions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australia\u2019s neighbourhood is populated by states that refused to sign draft resolutions in the United Nations condemning Russian aggression. This includes all ASEAN states, bar Singapore. When it came time in the UN General Assembly to vote on Russian actions in Ukraine, India, China, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Laos abstained. In the UN Security Council, while Russia vetoed, Indo-Pacific titans China and India have abstained consistently on calls to \u201cdeplore\u201d Russian aggression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australia\u2019s strategic interests<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Largely, Canberra\u2019s interests in Ukraine are tied to the potential knock-on effects of a successful campaign by Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. While Ukrainian unity has endured for eight years, Australians have largely only gained interest in the past week or so. This has been facilitated primarily by social media and advances in open-source intelligence. Stories of citizens banding together to make Molotov cocktails and communities arming and fiercely resisting Russian troops are impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is early days of the campaign, and ultimately Russia maintains an upper hand when it comes to military capability. Despite the Kremlin\u2019s perplexing current campaign wave, with soldiers running out of food and tanks without fuel, Russian military power can and likely will escalate. In no uncertain terms, Joe Biden has indicated US troops will not set foot in Ukraine, and NATO has reiterated its military commitment is resigned to NATO territory only. So, in the coming weeks or months, maybe years, Ukraine will fight this war on its own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Consequences for the Indo-Pacific<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Could China glean strategic lessons from a protracted conflict in which the US\u2014and the west more broadly\u2014is sidelined? This is a central problem for Australia when it comes to the ripple effects for the Indo-Pacific theatre. There are already some early insights for how the crisis might shape the Indo-Pacific.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

European unity, however surprising, might yet allow Washington to somewhat reduce its strategic bandwidth in Europe. Such an opportunity has been presented to the US by Germany\u2019s shock \u201cre-arming\u201d and historical overhaul of its defence identity. In some ways, Ukraine has provided Berlin a chance to make amends for the inherited strategic guilt many of its institutions still carry from World War II. With European security responsibilities shifting back to Europeans and states like Germany, France, and the UK stepping up, Washington can be somewhat freed up for emerging strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The path ahead<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

While the Ukraine crisis has existed in this current iteration for eight years now, it has taken the events of the past week or so to really rally Australian interest.  So, has Australia\u2019s Ukraine policy been successful? Relative to Canberra\u2019s aims, it has. But Australia\u2019s aims are largely value-based and perhaps more virtue signaling than many Australians like to admit. The next conflict or strategic crisis might be much closer to home. Should that be the case, Australia must be ready to do a lot more heavy lifting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ultimately, this is a crisis for Ukraine for the Ukrainian people. But it is also a crisis for Russia. The antagonist is the Kremlin and its current leadership, not the Russian people, who are largely devastated by Putin\u2019s actions in Ukraine. Overall, on both sides of this war, it will be the populations that suffer\u2014economically, psychologically, and of course, physically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian policymakers need to take stock of the national position on Russia and Ukraine in terms of Australia\u2019s supply chain security, sovereign defence capabilities, and energy security. This war has already underscored the significance of logistics, and as an island nation, Australia ought to be crafting security strategy-centered principles of national resilience. After all, signaling support for liberal democratic values is quite different to fighting <\/em>for them. Is Australia ready?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

AUTHOR<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr Elizabeth Buchanan is Lecturer of Strategic Studies at Deakin University for the Defence and Strategic Studies Course at the Australian War College, Fellow of the Modern War Institute at West Point and Adjunct Research Fellow at the Griffith Asia Institute<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ELIZABETH BUCHANAN | Australia has committed a significant aid package to Ukraine and applied further sanctions against Russia. Though this European security crisis unfolds far beyond the region, Australia\u2019s response aligns with its strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific. The Russia-Ukraine war has been simmering away since 2014 when Moscow annexed Crimea. Over the past eight […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":8984,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1170,233,1053],"tags":[1633,621],"class_list":["post-8982","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-feature-series","category-australia","tag-elizabeth-buchanan","tag-ukraine"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"\nAustralia's Ukraine policy | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ELIZABETH BUCHANAN | Australia has committed a significant aid package to Ukraine and applied further sanctions against Russia. 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Since then, his decision to continue the onslaught has revealed the ongoing practical costs to the Russian military. Now, Moscow\u2019s attempt to meet those\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commentary"","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin and the Chairman of the State Council of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea Kim Jong-un, 25 April 2019.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9937,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wagner-chief-prigozhin-reportedly-killed-but-has-putin-cooked-his-own-goose\/","url_meta":{"origin":8982,"position":1},"title":"Wagner chief Prigozhin reportedly killed, but has Putin cooked his own\u00a0goose?","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"29 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"MATTHEW SUSSEX\u00a0| Perhaps the most unexpected thing about the plane crash that reportedly\u00a0killed\u00a0Yevgeny Prigozhin, the bombastic head of Russia\u2019s infamous Wagner group, is that it happened a full two months after he brought Russia to what President Vladimir Putin warned at the time was the brink of\u00a0civil war. Prigozhin certainly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commentary"","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Vladimir Putin and Yevgeny Prigozhin.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/putin-prigozhin.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/putin-prigozhin.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/putin-prigozhin.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/putin-prigozhin.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9943,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/whether-on-russia-or-china-clearly-baerbock-is-driving-germanys-change\/","url_meta":{"origin":8982,"position":2},"title":"Whether on Russia or China, clearly Baerbock is driving Germany\u2019s change","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"1 September 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"IAN KEMISH AM\u00a0 | Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock\u2019s address to the Lowy Institute this week\u00a0highlighted\u00a0the significant changes in German foreign and security stance over the last 18 months, especially when it comes to dealing with authoritarian states. It was quite unlike any of the politicians\u2019 speeches I sat through as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commentary"","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Annalena Baerbock Wahlkampfh\u00f6hepunkt D\u00fcsseldorf, September 2021","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/Annalena-Baerbock.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/Annalena-Baerbock.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/Annalena-Baerbock.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/Annalena-Baerbock.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9918,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/strategic-denial-and-australias-pacific-mindset\/","url_meta":{"origin":8982,"position":3},"title":"Strategic denial and Australia\u2019s Pacific mindset","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"21 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"This is the first in a three-part series in which GAI Industry fellow Ian Kemish AM explores the history of Australia\u2019s public mindset towards the Pacific.","rel":"","context":"In "Pillar 3: Geopolitics and diplomacy"","block_context":{"text":"Pillar 3: Geopolitics and diplomacy","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/feature-series\/pacific-outlook-feature-series\/geopolitics-diplomacy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australia's Pacific mindset - map of Oceania overlayed with people silhouette.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/08\/pacific-mindset-part-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10055,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/policy-brief-an-agenda-for-australia-rok-climate-cooperation-with-southeast-asia\/","url_meta":{"origin":8982,"position":4},"title":"Policy Brief | An agenda for Australia-Republic of Korea climate cooperation with Southeast Asia","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"17 October 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"ALICE NASON\u00a0 |\u00a0 Griffith Asia Institute Policy Brief | 30-MINUTE READ Executive summary Download PDF The intensification of climate change will have dramatic and destructive effects on Southeast Asia. For Australia, whose resilience and prosperity are intrinsically tied to those of its neighbours, preventing or minimising the impact of climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Green transition and development"","block_context":{"text":"Green transition and development","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/green-transition-and-development\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Griffith Asia Institute Policy Brief cover - South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol poses for a photo with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese as they meet on the sidelines of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization summit in Madrid, 28 June 2022..","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/australia-rok-policy-brief-blog-banner.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/australia-rok-policy-brief-blog-banner.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/australia-rok-policy-brief-blog-banner.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/australia-rok-policy-brief-blog-banner.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9973,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/finding-a-place-for-youth-leadership-in-australias-new-international-development-policy\/","url_meta":{"origin":8982,"position":5},"title":"Finding a place for youth leadership in Australia\u2019s new International Development Policy","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"14 September 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"HELEN BERENTS\u00a0AND KATRINA LEE-KOO |\u00a0 Asia and the Pacific are the most youthful regions of the world, with 25 per cent of their populations aged between 15 and 29. Combined, the two regions are home to 60 per cent of the world\u2019s youth. Yet, in Australia\u2019s new International Development Policy,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Region | Australia"","block_context":{"text":"Region | Australia","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/australia\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Asian youth in back of protest demonstration holding a poster We need a change. 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