{"id":9000,"date":"2022-03-14T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-13T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=9000"},"modified":"2023-08-06T20:00:47","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T10:00:47","slug":"putins-folly-and-the-end-of-indian-multialignment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/putins-folly-and-the-end-of-indian-multialignment\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin\u2019s folly and the end of Indian multialignment"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/ian-hall\/\">IAN HALL<\/a>  |  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For New Delhi, Russian President Vladimir Putin\u2019s invasion of Ukraine is likely to prove as big a strategic shock as the twin blows inflicted on India in 1991 by the Gulf War and the collapse of the Soviet Union. Those traumatic experiences prompted a shift in Indian strategy. Regardless of how this war ends, Russia\u2019s aggression in 2022 will almost certainly have a similar effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">India had a disastrous year in 1991. At that time, half of its oil came from Iraq and Kuwait, and almost 200,000 Indians worked in those two countries. Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein\u2019s actions put both in peril. The resulting spike in oil prices plunged India into a balance-of-payments crisis. New Delhi was forced to hock its gold reserves to borrow hard currency and, at the same time, attempt a difficult evacuation of Indian citizens. India then watched as Iraq\u2019s Soviet-supplied and -trained army was destroyed in six weeks by a US-led coalition. Some Indian leaders drew a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/archive\/politics\/1992\/01\/17\/lessons-from-the-gulf-war\/bad0ef92-4339-4b47-a589-10e24de23265\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">clear lesson<\/a>: only nuclear weapons deter major powers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ten months later, the fall of the Soviet Union dealt&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.csmonitor.com\/1991\/1007\/07182.html\" target=\"_blank\">an even more serious blow<\/a>, stripping India of a diplomatic, economic and defence partner on which it had been able to rely for two decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Please click here to read the full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aspistrategist.org.au\/putins-folly-and-the-end-of-indian-multialignment\/\">&#8220;Putin\u2019s folly and the end of Indian multialignment&#8221;<\/a> article published at The Strategist, written by Griffith Asia Institute Deputy Director, Research, Professor Ian Hall.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IAN HALL | For New Delhi, Russian President Vladimir Putin\u2019s invasion of Ukraine is likely to prove as big a strategic shock as the twin blows inflicted on India in 1991 by the Gulf War and the collapse of the Soviet Union. Those traumatic experiences prompted a shift in Indian strategy. Regardless of how this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":9003,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[246,524,1057],"tags":[1293,512,625,1667,609,621],"class_list":["post-9000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-india-and-south-asia","category-public-diplomacy","category-security","tag-ian-hall","tag-india","tag-narendra-modi","tag-putin","tag-russia","tag-ukraine"],"acf":[],"modified_by":null,"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - 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Since then, his decision to continue the onslaught has revealed the ongoing practical costs to the Russian military. Now, Moscow\u2019s attempt to meet those\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commentary&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commentary","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/category\/publication\/commentary\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin and the Chairman of the State Council of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea Kim Jong-un, 25 April 2019.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/09\/kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9937,"url":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/wagner-chief-prigozhin-reportedly-killed-but-has-putin-cooked-his-own-goose\/","url_meta":{"origin":9000,"position":3},"title":"Wagner chief Prigozhin reportedly killed, but has Putin cooked his own\u00a0goose?","author":"Griffith Asia Institute","date":"29 August 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"MATTHEW SUSSEX\u00a0| Perhaps the most unexpected thing about the plane crash that reportedly\u00a0killed\u00a0Yevgeny Prigozhin, the bombastic head of Russia\u2019s infamous Wagner group, is that it happened a full two months after he brought Russia to what President Vladimir Putin warned at the time was the brink of\u00a0civil war. 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