{"id":9073,"date":"2022-04-21T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-20T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=9073"},"modified":"2023-08-06T14:08:41","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T04:08:41","slug":"in-putins-war-everybody-loses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/in-putins-war-everybody-loses\/","title":{"rendered":"In Putin\u2019s war, everybody loses"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/peter-layton\/\">PETER LAYTON<\/a>\u00a0|   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The war in Ukraine is entering its ninth week. Looking back, in the first three weeks, Russia tried to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realcleardefense.com\/articles\/2022\/03\/14\/general_valery_gerasimovs_great_ukrainian_disaster_821552.html?mc_cid=0fa4884903\" target=\"_blank\">quickly impose<\/a>&nbsp;regime change. This failed, leading to the Russian army adopting a wasteland strategy. This aimed to destroy Ukraine economically, devastate cities and towns, and create large refugee flows. Some 12 million people \u2013 about a&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/reliefweb.int\/report\/ukraine\/vice-prime-minister-and-minister-reintegration-temporarily-occupied-territories\" target=\"_blank\">quarter<\/a>&nbsp;of Ukraine\u2019s population \u2013 are now refugees, internally or externally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.afr.com\/world\/europe\/russians-begin-eastern-ukraine-offensive-zelensky-20220419-p5aeay\" target=\"_blank\">has now begun<\/a>&nbsp;its expected air and land offensive to gain additional territory in the Donbass region, in particular to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-60506682\" target=\"_blank\">capture the remainder<\/a>&nbsp;of the Luhansk Oblast (province).&nbsp; This offensive will play to Russian strengths in having large numbers of tanks and soldiers, and being connected to a better military supply network than Belarus proved to be. However, Russia will&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/russia-ukraine-kyiv-syria-middle-east-europe-3f19dcf04272865539cf3af9816c29f9\" target=\"_blank\">again face troubles<\/a>&nbsp;with unmotivated and badly trained soldiers, poor logistics, poor battlefield intelligence, and having much older equipment unsuited to modern smart-weapons wars.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The offensive is likely to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-17\" target=\"_blank\">have mixed success<\/a>&nbsp;in capturing new territory, but crucially will stop Ukraine retaking the land it has lost and inflict considerable further damage to Ukraine\u2019s armed forces. Putin will be&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/cyprus-mail.com\/2022\/04\/17\/ukraine-the-second-russian-offensive\/\" target=\"_blank\">able to claim<\/a>&nbsp;the gains have been worth the great cost. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Please click here to read the full &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lowyinstitute.org\/the-interpreter\/putin-s-war-everybody-loses\">In Putin\u2019s war, everybody loses<\/a>&#8221; article published at The Interpreter, written by Griffith Asia Insitute Visiting Fellow, Dr Peter Layton.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PETER LAYTON\u00a0| The war in Ukraine is entering its ninth week. Looking back, in the first three weeks, Russia tried to&nbsp;quickly impose&nbsp;regime change. This failed, leading to the Russian army adopting a wasteland strategy. This aimed to destroy Ukraine economically, devastate cities and towns, and create large refugee flows. Some 12 million people \u2013 about<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/in-putins-war-everybody-loses\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;In Putin\u2019s war, everybody loses&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":9074,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1057],"tags":[1082,609,621],"class_list":["post-9073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-security","tag-peter-layton","tag-russia","tag-ukraine"],"acf":[],"modified_by":null,"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>In Putin\u2019s war, everybody loses | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"PETER LAYTON\u00a0| The war in Ukraine is entering its ninth week. 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