{"id":9224,"date":"2022-07-01T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-30T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=9224"},"modified":"2023-08-06T20:54:41","modified_gmt":"2023-08-06T10:54:41","slug":"myanmars-civil-war-and-the-myth-of-military-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/myanmars-civil-war-and-the-myth-of-military-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"Myanmar\u2019s civil war and the myth of military victory"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/tag\/andrew-selth\/\">ANDREW SELTH<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past few months, there has been a significant shift in the tone of the expert commentary on Myanmar\u2019s civil war. Experienced observers are starting to hedge their bets on the eventual outcome of the conflict. A few are even allowing for the possibility of a military victory by the opposition movement, something once dismissed as impossible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the coup on 1 February 2021, most professional Myanmar-watchers warned that, despite the unprecedented support shown for the pro-democracy movement, Myanmar\u2019s armed forces (or Tatmadaw)&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/asiatimes.com\/2021\/02\/why-myanmars-military-will-win-in-the-end\" target=\"_blank\">should not be under-estimated<\/a>. They had weaknesses, but were powerful, ruthless and determined to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/asiatimes.com\/2021\/04\/why-the-tatmadaw-wont-crack-in-myanmar\" target=\"_blank\">assert their control<\/a>&nbsp;over the country, whatever the cost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The nation-wide civil disobedience campaign weakened the regime but could not bring it down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Please click here to read the full <a href=\"https:\/\/asialink.unimelb.edu.au\/insights\/myanmars-civil-war-and-the-myth-of-military-victory\">&#8220;Myanmar\u2019s civil war and the myth of military victory&#8221;<\/a> article published at AsiaLink, written by Griffith Asia Institute Adjunct Professor Andrew Selth.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ANDREW SELTH\u00a0 |\u00a0\u00a0 Over the past few months, there has been a significant shift in the tone of the expert commentary on Myanmar\u2019s civil war. Experienced observers are starting to hedge their bets on the eventual outcome of the conflict. A few are even allowing for the possibility of a military victory by the opposition<a href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/myanmars-civil-war-and-the-myth-of-military-victory\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"sr-only\">&#8220;Myanmar\u2019s civil war and the myth of military victory&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":9226,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1170,247,1057],"tags":[1672,1698,369,959],"class_list":["post-9224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-indonesia-and-southeast-asia","category-security","tag-andrew-selth","tag-junta","tag-myanmar","tag-tatmadaw"],"acf":[],"modified_by":null,"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Myanmar\u2019s civil war and the myth of military victory | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ANDREW SELTH\u00a0 |\u00a0\u00a0 Over the past few months, there has been a significant shift in the tone of the expert commentary on Myanmar\u2019s civil war. Experienced\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/myanmars-civil-war-and-the-myth-of-military-victory\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Myanmar\u2019s civil war and the myth of military victory | Griffith Asia Insights\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ANDREW SELTH\u00a0 |\u00a0\u00a0 Over the past few months, there has been a significant shift in the tone of the expert commentary on Myanmar\u2019s civil war. 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