{"id":9232,"date":"2022-07-08T08:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-07T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/?p=9232"},"modified":"2023-08-07T10:20:44","modified_gmt":"2023-08-07T00:20:44","slug":"south-east-asia-snapshot-30","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testblogs.griffith.edu.au\/asiainsights\/south-east-asia-snapshot-30\/","title":{"rendered":"Southeast Asia snapshot #30"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

SOVINDA PO<\/a> | <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Myanmar\u2019s junta-appointed Defense Minister attends ASEAN defense meeting<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

On 22 June 2022, Myanmar\u2019s military-appointed Defense Minister, General Mya Tun Oo, attended the 16th<\/sup> ASEAN Defense Ministers Meeting<\/a> with other Southeast Asian counterparts<\/a> in Cambodia despite calls from various groups to exclude the junta<\/a> from the meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The meeting\u2019s joint statement commits ASEAN member states to further promote the implementation of the five-point consensus<\/a> and to the continued support of the ASEAN Special Envoy<\/a>. The meeting, however, was not positively received by all parties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some believed that allowing the Minister to attend the meeting could legitimize the junta\u2019s attacks on human rights and democracy in Myanmar<\/a>. The Cambodian Defense Minister, Tea Banh, reiterated his ambition of using forums to find resolutions<\/a> to the current crisis. The Malaysian Defense Ministry presented a firm stance, stating that although the gathering involved the junta<\/a>, Malaysia would never recognize the military government as a legitimate ruler of Myanmar<\/a>.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite the attendance of all ASEAN member states at the meeting, it is clear that the junta is not recognized or accepted by the bloc<\/a>. More pressure may be placed on Cambodia, as the current ASEAN Chair, to exclude the junta from upcoming ASEAN meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ASEAN progress in dealing with the Myanmar crisis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Since the coup in 2021<\/a>, ASEAN has struggled to manage the issues in Myanmar. On 22 June 2022, the junta moved Aung San Suu Kyi from house arrest to a secret prison in Naypyidaw<\/a>. Her court proceedings will be conducted behind closed doors<\/a> with limited details being released to public media. Some fear that the junta is planning to detain Aung San Suu Kyi for the rest of her life<\/a> given her prison sentences exceed 100 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the current ASEAN Chair, Cambodia has raised concern regarding this transfer<\/a> and has urged the junta to return Suu Kyi back home<\/a> due to her poor health and well-being<\/a>. The ASEAN Special Envoy, Prak Sokhonn, also encouraged the military regime to exercise compassion<\/a> in the process of returning Myanmar back to normalcy, assuring that the other ASEAN members share the same concerns<\/a>. Interestingly, Suu Kyi\u2019s transfer was done just a few days before the ASEAN Special Envoy’s second visit<\/a> to Myanmar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This second visit from 29 June \u2013 3 July, aimed to  push for further implementation of the five-point consensus<\/a>, to assist in establishing dialogue<\/a> and to deliver humanitarian assistance in Myanmar<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China has supported the visit, highlighting their commitment to humanitarian assistance<\/a> by donating two million COVID-19 vaccines to ASEAN<\/a> for the vulnerable in Myanmar. This falls in line with China\u2019s attempts to reflects support ASEAN\u2019s current agenda<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite the warm welcome from the military government<\/a> for the Special Envoy\u2019s visit, the junta made it clear that Prak Sokhonn would not be allowed to meet with Aung San Suu Kyi<\/a> given her trial. However, the Special Envoy was allowed to meet with the junta’s leader and other ethnic armed groups<\/a> to foster dialogue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This has sparked many questions surrounding the effectiveness of the current ASEAN Special Envoy<\/a> and progress toward peace in Myanmar. Some believe that this second visit will result in little progress<\/a> as the junta remains resistant to cooperation in implementing the peace plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The spokesman for the NUG, meanwhile, expressed the impossibility of the Envoy to produce any successful outcomes<\/a> given he can only meet with the junta while other important stakeholders remain barred from the meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A concern that has emerged through this visit is the perception that the junta has earned the power to slow down or speed up the processes<\/a> of the peace plans and dialogues. Regardless of this constraints, this visit can be viewed as a commitment made by the ASEAN Chair to see  Myanmar return to peace<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ability of the Special Envoy to conduct a second visit<\/a> signals progress in establishing dialogue with some parties. This progress, however, remains limited as the junta continues to exercise control over every dialogue attempt by the Special Envoy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marcos Jr sworn in as President of the Philippines<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

On 30 June 2022, Ferdinand Marcos Jr, also known as \u201cBongbong\u201d, was sworn in as the 17th<\/sup> President of the Philippines<\/a>, succeeding outgoing president Duterte. This marks the return of Marcos rule<\/a> after former dictator Ferdinand Marcos Sr was ousted from power 36 years ago<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In his inauguration speech, Marcos Jr praised his father\u2019s efforts<\/a> and urged for unity within the Philippines<\/a>. He committed to tackling issues including the economic downturn, climate change<\/a>, and food sufficiency in the Philippines<\/a> despite the crisis in Ukraine \u2013 even appointing himself as Agricultural Minister<\/a> to manage this particular challenge. Poignantly, he also reiterated a firm commitment to defend the Philippines in the South China Sea dispute<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Activists held protests<\/a> at the event to vocalize their concern about the past trauma of martial law<\/a> on Filipinos. Some even called on Bongbong to fix the country\u2019s image<\/a>, damaged by Duterte\u2019s war on drugs. Others remain confident that the new president will not be as violent<\/a> as Rodrigo Duterte, however, anxiety still remains that Marcos Jr may keep himself in power<\/a> as his father did, despite his vow to serve the country<\/a> to his best ability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

AUTHOR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sovinda<\/strong> Po<\/strong> is a Research Assistant at the Griffith Asia Institute<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

SOVINDA PO | Myanmar\u2019s junta-appointed Defense Minister attends ASEAN defense meeting On 22 June 2022, Myanmar\u2019s military-appointed Defense Minister, General Mya Tun Oo, attended the 16th ASEAN Defense Ministers Meeting with other Southeast Asian counterparts in Cambodia despite calls from various groups to exclude the junta from the meeting. The meeting\u2019s joint statement commits ASEANContinue reading “Southeast Asia snapshot #30”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":8755,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[247,1413,1056,524,1057],"tags":[540,280,369,379,1079],"class_list":["post-9232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-indonesia-and-southeast-asia","category-south-east-asia-snapshot","category-politics","category-public-diplomacy","category-security","tag-asean","tag-cambodia","tag-myanmar","tag-philippines","tag-sovinda-po"],"acf":[],"modified_by":"Jill Moriarty","yoast_head":"\nSoutheast Asia snapshot #30 | Griffith Asia Insights<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"SOVINDA PO 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